TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Como 1907 vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$248,062

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $248,062 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee0d…57abbacked Over41c100,000$40,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,379.448743.7%38 W · 49 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c36,054$18,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,323.482,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under60c20,331$12,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,173.2893252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Over38c19,000$7,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,709.99560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+34.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under61c18,707$11,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,496.8822348.4%108 W · 115 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under58c14,852$8,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,578.831,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under40c8,171$3,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,231.2634643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b09…2c43backed Under36c6,983$2,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,546.961421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-51.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe39…5c3cbacked Under58c5,349$3,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,118333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under60c4,373$2,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6246659.1%39 W · 27 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under36c2,829$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.2231051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under60c2,745$1,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,658.4933148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd90d…cf07backed Over46c1,832$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.81421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick18cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under61c1,721$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.819652.1%50 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under62c1,671$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,035.744351.2%22 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under60c1,663$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.426659.1%39 W · 27 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over41c1,502$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.789137.4%34 W · 57 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over60c1,485$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.814351%73 W · 70 L-10.8wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under62c1,482$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.0320841.8%87 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3541…78debacked Over65c1,079$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.08988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.5wins+0.39per pick50cpaid+68.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under61c1,066$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65033357.4%191 W · 142 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Over37c1,033$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.872540%10 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbca0…d7a0backed Over50c999.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.671752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+44.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Over41c899.99$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5317749.4%38 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11cf…2674backed Over61c872$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.081546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over42c833.33$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.339054.4%49 W · 41 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under57c831.86$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.682951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked Under57c830$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.11241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x036c…178dbacked Over37c813.74$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.651353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a54…4e11backed Over59c789.98$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.893452.9%18 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa313…1f26backed Over46c740.57$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.941747.1%8 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick30cpaid+92%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under61c733.5$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.640549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under42c729.84$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.9916340.5%66 W · 97 L-14.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0ee6…1678backed Over50c602$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30015459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0644…c7b4backed Over54c583.22$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.22520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-62.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Under36c555.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over38c526.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.3211348.7%55 W · 58 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over44c511.99$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.7211349.6%56 W · 57 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2851266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+93.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under62c487$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.827646.1%35 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over63c485.71$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.715945.8%27 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over40c485.59$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.5917058.2%99 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Under38c473.68$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1804047.5%19 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under48c458.33$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2201957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Under49c453.95$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.5771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over59c406.78$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.7816526.1%43 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under61c400$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24416251.2%83 W · 79 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20014748.3%71 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under56c400$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2245358.5%31 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over57c399.99$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1727424.3%18 W · 56 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4592…49b6backed Under59c399.96$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x92b5…3eefbacked Over41c394.95$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.022100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick43cpaid+135.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ff8…942fbacked Over59c372.88$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.88560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+8.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under50c360.52$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.4823244%102 W · 130 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Under43c350$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.51656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+41%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Over45c334.6$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.62356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over42c323.82$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.827464.9%48 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x087f…2ebfbacked Over59c310.51$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.232560%15 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5562…3b41backed Under59c300$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1779353.8%50 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Over38c285.29$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.881861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under61c278.73$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.1711150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over35c273$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.4517651.7%91 W · 85 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Over55c258$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.2714549.7%72 W · 73 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506950.7%35 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under55c249.58$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.2714553.1%77 W · 68 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5b0…f879backed Under41c242.75$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+41.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6394…9749backed Over36c241.67$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.67728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf034…d5a8backed Under45c235.56$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9073…13b3backed Over38c231.58$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.585364.2%34 W · 19 L+7.9wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+37.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x631c…7bfebacked Over52c228.08$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.611936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-26.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.277954.4%43 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda63…b031backed Under45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-24.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over53c216.89$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.8915648.7%76 W · 80 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Under59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1181560%9 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1162846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+53.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc94c…ba65backed Under11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221421.4%3 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick11cpaid+195.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c30…0ac6backed Over63c199.99$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743050%15 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd571…d24abacked Over38c197.37$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.376241.9%26 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xba1f…1b83backed Over52c192.69$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.691060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under61c191.4$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.7520452%106 W · 98 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd810…2eb8backed Under58c186.33$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.712653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2a7…7916backed Over38c184$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.082100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.64per pick37cpaid+174.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Under49c183.67$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903438.2%13 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked Under58c180.76$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.841758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+34%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over41c180$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.223353.6%125 W · 108 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb6b…617cbacked Over45c173.64$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.5955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over52c169.99$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.234553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over42c168.7$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.6946047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under53c167.68$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.7849137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb03…9732backed Under60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006262.9%39 W · 23 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+19.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb7f…0abbbacked Over64c164.06$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.061450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x969b…3773backed Under57c160$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under47c159.71$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.411136.9%41 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8510361.2%63 W · 40 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over47c147.22$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.2238739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over55c147$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.7718055%99 W · 81 L+15.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb226…e227backed Under70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Under38c134.3$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.392744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7473…89eebacked Under37c133.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.