Euroleague · resolved market
Saski Baskonia vs. FC Bayern Munchen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39caed7bffcb02316645e1fdec0310b8b140f7fa642be44a81d416d0a67fb2c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Saski Baskoniaof Saski Baskonia, FC Bayern Munchen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $128,061
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $128,832
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,061 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1ae5…8342backed FC Bayern Munchen | 49c | 117,349$57,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,299.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked Saski Baskonia | 50c | 45,270$22,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,426.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Saski Baskonia | 51c | 24,369$12,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,940.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Saski Baskonia | 52c | 16,118$8,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,766.7 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Saski Baskonia | 52c | 9,245$4,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,439.96 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Saski Baskonia | 52c | 6,890$3,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,316.7 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Saski Baskonia | 53c | 5,136$2,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,427.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Saski Baskonia | 49c | 1,760$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.3 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Saski Baskonia | 50c | 1,574$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Saski Baskonia | 52c | 1,256$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.01 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Saski Baskonia | 51c | 1,112$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.76 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Saski Baskonia | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb560…60d6backed Saski Baskonia | 54c | 702$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Saski Baskonia | 63c | 691.08$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.57 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Saski Baskonia | 56c | 552.55$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Saski Baskonia | 68c | 534.17$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.87 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Saski Baskonia | 51c | 491.2$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.69 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed FC Bayern Munchen | 45c | 359.62$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…9c2fbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 47c | 323.61$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.77 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Saski Baskonia | 74c | 312$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.68 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Saski Baskonia | 54c | 309.15$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.21 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Saski Baskonia | 47c | 260$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Saski Baskonia | 62c | 209.09$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.09 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…9b9cbacked Saski Baskonia | 53c | 199.98$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked FC Bayern Munchen | 47c | 197.65$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.9 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Saski Baskonia | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62d1…c018backed Saski Baskonia | 53c | 187.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Saski Baskonia | 55c | 154.55$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.55 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…f296backed FC Bayern Munchen | 45c | 149.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Saski Baskonia | 53c | 140$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Saski Baskonia | 55c | 136.35$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed Saski Baskonia | 55c | 126.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.37 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 46c | 103$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.38 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ba…f30dbacked Saski Baskonia | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Saski Baskonia | 51c | 94.12$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.12 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Saski Baskonia | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d1…ad22backed Saski Baskonia | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…4340backed Saski Baskonia | 53c | 83.36$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb9…d7ddbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 47cpaid | -82.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Saski Baskonia | 55c | 72.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed FC Bayern Munchen | 47c | 72$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Saski Baskonia | 51c | 63.61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +6.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5681…b253backed Saski Baskonia | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…87c9backed FC Bayern Munchen | 45c | 53.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -4.4wins | -0.40per pick | 58cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa548…1fd5backed Saski Baskonia | 53c | 49.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Saski Baskonia | 49c | 38.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1206…eaeebacked Saski Baskonia | 53c | 38.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Saski Baskonia | 53c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Saski Baskonia | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Saski Baskonia | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed FC Bayern Munchen | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed FC Bayern Munchen | 45c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a7…e161backed Saski Baskonia | 54c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5192backed Saski Baskonia | 54c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…304cbacked Saski Baskonia | 54c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Saski Baskonia | 54c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…64e1backed Saski Baskonia | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98d7…95d4backed Saski Baskonia | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed Saski Baskonia | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec0…82ddbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…a3d3backed Saski Baskonia | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.