Other European Leagues · resolved market
Çaykur Rizespor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e1ad49f84da9f03dc78e1225d0be821ce10990614106643908c2775f20becd6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,868
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,763
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,868 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3333…15bdbacked Over | 58c | 44,998$26,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,086.99 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd70…ccdbbacked Under | 55c | 24,671$13,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,101.89 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 43c | 22,815$9,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,985.51 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 4,899$2,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,706.96 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 45c | 4,826$2,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,171.82 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 43c | 3,563$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,044.65 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 42c | 2,670$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.2 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 55c | 1,800$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 45c | 1,444$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.75 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 43c | 1,272$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.51 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 45c | 922.75$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.24 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 48c | 789.35$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.52 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 46c | 625.3$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.64 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 45c | 560$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 45c | 544.44$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 43c | 539.28$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.89 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…4806backed Over | 59c | 512.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a62…fa34backed Over | 61c | 479.73$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Over | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 55c | 441.07$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.38 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 42c | 341.4$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.01 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 55c | 265.09$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.29 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 45c | 211$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.95 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb61a…fc78backed Over | 45c | 137.56$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.9 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 45c | 133.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 56c | 109.97$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.58 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 187 | 49.7%93 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 67c | 95.26$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.46 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 44c | 79.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77ab…24c0backed Over | 43c | 58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 48c | 56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 43c | 54.49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.79 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3e…d808backed Under | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 43c | 51.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 59c | 44.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Under | 42c | 42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed Over | 45c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f26…8984backed Over | 62c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 55c | 33.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb20a…044dbacked Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…683fbacked Over | 45c | 31.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 70%63 W · 27 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…87c9backed Over | 45c | 30.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 42c | 28.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 146 | 28.1%41 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9796…9032backed Over | 45c | 28.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed6a…841ebacked Over | 45c | 27.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12e…27c2backed Over | 46c | 27.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 62c | 27.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb672…456fbacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb15…f4f8backed Over | 58c | 24.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa131…7269backed Under | 56c | 23.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Kocaelispor (-1.5)Çaykur Rizespor won
- Spread: Kocaelispor (-2.5)Çaykur Rizespor won
- Spread: Çaykur Rizespor (-1.5)Çaykur Rizespor won
- Spread: Çaykur Rizespor (-2.5)Kocaelispor won
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Kocaelispor: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 1.5Over won
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 3.5Under won
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.