TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. Panathinaikós AO: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,322
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,911

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,322 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8f03…64d6backed Under57c9,834$5,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,191.81643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under57c6,723$3,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,891.43,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over43c4,991$2,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,129.9238247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over43c3,936$1,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,707.7211242.9%48 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5858…dc6bbacked Over42c3,592$1,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,501.24540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under56c3,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.968124.7%20 W · 61 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under56c2,755$1,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,212.2343344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over43c2,118$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.7111226.8%30 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over37c2,115$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.1378344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under60c2,040$1,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.862,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under58c1,932$1,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.8313149.6%65 W · 66 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed Over44c1,815$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.462867.9%19 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick67cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4988…5772backed Over42c1,765$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.29250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e96…d509backed Under58c1,294$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over43c1,163$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002532%8 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x46cf…42eabacked Over43c1,026$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4008747.1%41 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over42c1,000$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42333349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over42c984.04$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.384850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e16…a795backed Under58c862.07$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.074548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under54c793.01$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.8470239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Over42c734.83$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.526330.2%19 W · 44 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over35c699.99$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2451315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over37c681.23$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504528.9%13 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under50c678.94$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.0752243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under60c636.64$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.3176941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd35…17debacked Over61c628.63$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.941963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under41c569.8$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.8963857.2%365 W · 273 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Over42c540$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.81050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over44c511.36$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2254841.7%20 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21018049.4%89 W · 91 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over63c482.54$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3042259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c5d…2d94backed Under58c468.99$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.982100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Over37c450.4$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.773243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-27.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over59c450$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.51315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick28cpaid-69.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc554…00adbacked Under59c416.63$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.837753.2%41 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over64c400$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25610034%34 W · 66 L-10.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over42c357.14$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15017447.7%83 W · 91 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9453…6952backed Over61c328.07$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002850%14 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under60c303.02$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.212245.5%10 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under4c300$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28825157%143 W · 108 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over43c299.91$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.964131.7%13 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Under42c292.86$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.862846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Under58c250$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1054643.5%20 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under51c236.17$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.398639.5%34 W · 52 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2791…2346backed Over29c233$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.5740%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bb8…7471backed Over36c228.9$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.48239%32 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0aaf…e0a8backed Over44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over43c223.27$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.015540%22 W · 33 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+34.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x34a9…d343backed Over45c222.45$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over46c216.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004573.3%33 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under56c186.91$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.917364.4%47 W · 26 L+9.3wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+20.6%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x9e98…ee81backed Under57c177.46$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75e1…1b07backed Over57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…54d2backed Over49c160$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791650%8 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over14c142.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9937750.9%192 W · 185 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under58c126.95$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.296056.7%34 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509638.5%37 W · 59 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507054.3%38 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504652.2%24 W · 22 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick63cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x41e0…00cbbacked Over44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504151.2%21 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9183…59f0backed Over63c111.11$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Over45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504042.5%17 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+17.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x08cf…f0ccbacked Over43c110$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x983a…ac6bbacked Over42c105$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Over42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425547.3%26 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408229.3%24 W · 58 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed Over42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over14c99.93$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9917941.9%75 W · 104 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over27c98$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.467859%46 W · 32 L+7.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+34.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over46c86.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407536%27 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508062.5%50 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc92d…9691backed Over54c83.33$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over24c83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.923036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over43c81.4$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3526647.4%126 W · 140 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under57c80.94$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.891950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f03…dc32backed Over63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501520%3 W · 12 L-3.8wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-44.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over34c73.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2514641.1%60 W · 86 L-14.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-17.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x31ed…09dabacked Over41c70$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xae6f…8a1bbacked Over44c68.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88ed…8300backed Over44c68.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde28…fc33backed Over41c61.03$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2540%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over37c60$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.91921.1%4 W · 15 L-4.3wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-56.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xeedf…1483backed Over43c59.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.81136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d92…68e8backed Under57c58.25$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.05540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9675…6bf3backed Over67c58.21$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392657.7%15 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5700…a854backed Over45c56.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.51723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.20per pick44cpaid-46.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Over44c55$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.28047.5%38 W · 42 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe24f…d68abacked Under57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.631533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-30.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff6b…8a9ebacked Under57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.632657.7%15 W · 11 L+4.8wins+0.19per pick39cpaid+54.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xb311…264fbacked Under57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.632653.8%14 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+35.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1479…b778backed Under57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.632450%12 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Under56c49.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229354.8%51 W · 42 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick61cpaid+52.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203327.3%9 W · 24 L-5.8wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-37.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd6c5…0d72backed Under57c46.73$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.97742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick32cpaid-9.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b39…e5cfbacked Over44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick50cpaid-67.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202347.8%11 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick62cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3bcd…1a94backed Over44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203250%16 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9ca8backed Over45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.