Euroleague · resolved market
Paris Basketball vs. Valencia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x554a08bec3b0c3934a2f84f4d8f027518f91a0482a7fed93c01957ec3ebd24c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paris Basketballof Paris Basketball, Valencia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,529
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,966
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,529 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Paris Basketball | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,049.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Valencia | 45c | 2,250$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Valencia | 73c | 1,100$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.51 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x897d…90c9backed Valencia | 4c | 1,080$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Valencia | 61c | 967.65$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.7 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Valencia | 44c | 689.61$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Paris Basketball | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked Valencia | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Paris Basketball | 55c | 477$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.65 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Paris Basketball | 57c | 309$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.64 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Valencia | 42c | 298.87$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.54 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Paris Basketball | 68c | 288.68$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.64 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Paris Basketball | 58c | 280$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.68 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Valencia | 61c | 218.02$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.99 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a09…cdffbacked Valencia | 45c | 215.56$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Paris Basketball | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Valencia | 61c | 163.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Valencia | 61c | 163.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed Valencia | 61c | 150.87$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.03 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Valencia | 61c | 145.09$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc03c…2b90backed Valencia | 44c | 115.91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…1d48backed Valencia | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Valencia | 65c | 94.68$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Valencia | 61c | 93.29$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.91 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -8.6wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Valencia | 47c | 85.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Valencia | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Paris Basketball | 53c | 78.66$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.97 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Paris Basketball | 21c | 75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.25 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ab…2798backed Valencia | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…87c9backed Valencia | 46c | 63.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -4.4wins | -0.40per pick | 58cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Paris Basketball | 21c | 62.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.47 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d1…ad22backed Valencia | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x591a…aec2backed Paris Basketball | 33c | 49.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…0f52backed Valencia | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc0…ba48backed Valencia | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Paris Basketball | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Valencia | 47c | 21.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.