Euroleague · resolved market
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. Olympiacos B.C.
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2f35f8368f0a89275f911eccb0e539ad2f112f806e01cd67e551e485455d925
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KK Crvena Zvezdaof KK Crvena Zvezda, Olympiacos B.C.
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,031
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,073
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,031 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1ae5…8342backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 48c | 14,378$6,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,477.22 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Olympiacos B.C. | 51c | 2,376$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.02 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 43c | 1,895$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.55 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Olympiacos B.C. | 52c | 955.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc229…dbeabacked Olympiacos B.C. | 53c | 945.34$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.65 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 42c | 887$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.71 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Olympiacos B.C. | 57c | 662.07$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.78 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Olympiacos B.C. | 77c | 535.34$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.12 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Olympiacos B.C. | 49c | 484.24$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.95 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 53c | 300$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 114 | 55.3%63 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f7…b542backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 20c | 252.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +152.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 48c | 219.73$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.26 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Olympiacos B.C. | 52c | 199.97$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.99 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed Olympiacos B.C. | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 59c | 169.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Olympiacos B.C. | 57c | 149.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.24 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Olympiacos B.C. | 52c | 142.38$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.04 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…598dbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 55c | 82.59$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 48c | 82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f30…ed96backed Olympiacos B.C. | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 45c | 56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Olympiacos B.C. | 46c | 55.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +69%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 44c | 47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…87c9backed Olympiacos B.C. | 56c | 45.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -4.4wins | -0.40per pick | 58cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4b…84c9backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 60c | 43.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…c3c8backed Olympiacos B.C. | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dda…0498backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 35c | 39.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +183.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 48c | 31.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 51c | 28.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +7.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.