Euroleague · resolved market
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Real Madrid
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb03ea96c81f731a6295e45f3ef95689b36a5604e16e4ed3b8944c55c3fd2dd8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Real Madridof Hapoel Tel Aviv, Real Madrid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,967
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,411
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,967 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 51c | 10,701$5,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,484.02 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae5…8342backed Real Madrid | 55c | 9,306$5,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,188.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd041…7b26backed Real Madrid | 43c | 7,959$3,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,503.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +130.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 49c | 2,821$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.54 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 49c | 2,788$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.36 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 61c | 2,357$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431.79 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Real Madrid | 45c | 1,958$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.08 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked Real Madrid | 40c | 1,898$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.41 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 51c | 1,559$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.87 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Real Madrid | 56c | 1,005$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.29 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Real Madrid | 43c | 946.5$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.95 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba1…2d08backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 41c | 918.92$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Real Madrid | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 57c | 828.42$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 42c | 649.05$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.77 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 60c | 600$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 44c | 599.99$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 38c | 525.4$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.88 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df3…bb17backed Real Madrid | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4b…84c9backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 55c | 476.58$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 58c | 453$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.74 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 60c | 429.09$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.48 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0585…5fa1backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Real Madrid | 58c | 250$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 114 | 55.3%63 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d51…397abacked Real Madrid | 55c | 232.73$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Real Madrid | 45c | 214.46$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.56 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Real Madrid | 39c | 199.34$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.6 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69bb…23b3backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 48c | 184.1$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4341…2421backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 57c | 139.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 62c | 129$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 65c | 123.08$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2711…4019backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 61c | 117.92$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Real Madrid | 39c | 99.97$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.96 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5204…1ca0backed Real Madrid | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc03c…2b90backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Real Madrid | 35c | 66.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.37 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +6.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed Real Madrid | 58c | 65.44$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 45c | 61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +69%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Real Madrid | 41c | 58.54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.54 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc173…b6e5backed Real Madrid | 35c | 51.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 53c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 56c | 46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d1…ad22backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 57c | 39.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80ce…2972backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 45c | 34.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Real Madrid | 54c | 32.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e7…c727backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d7…95d4backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 53c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3352…15d4backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 59c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d9…3f74backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 59c | 18.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.