Music · resolved market
Will Cyprus qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb463564403119be070ae88da888998064d405fd5ce2bbe96190505a1bc0087ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,356
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,601
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,356 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 76c | 1,828$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.51 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 22c | 1,596$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.73 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes | 80c | 1,003$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed No | 21c | 800$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…2e25backed No | 21c | 777.22$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.5 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb1…b027backed Yes | 77c | 646.89$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked No | 16c | 500$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c37…92a4backed Yes | 78c | 466.06$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.33 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5b…b598backed No | 31c | 437.6$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.42 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc173…b6e5backed Yes | 74c | 361.28$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.35 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x242b…de00backed No | 28c | 351.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.72 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked No | 29c | 344$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.22 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 27c | 278.32$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.05 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed No | 23c | 264.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.35 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…0571backed No | 25c | 250$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ec…7b2ebacked No | 21c | 250$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd470…783ebacked Yes | 80c | 233.31$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.65 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4332…975dbacked No | 27c | 229.44$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x679c…d8a1backed Yes | 73c | 228.27$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 28c | 215.92$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.38 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…81d1backed No | 25c | 213$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.87 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 24c | 211.41$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.69 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 25c | 210$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.08 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 20c | 208$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.86 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 28cpaid | +112.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…f204backed No | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.31per pick | 30cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8e…d191backed No | 26c | 195.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.28 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 14c | 181.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.02 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4b…559cbacked No | 20c | 155$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.35 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed No | 18c | 152.31$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.53 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed Yes | 65c | 141.63$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.89 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8628…f894backed No | 30c | 134.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked No | 14c | 131.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked No | 17c | 130.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.83 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c97…1b68backed No | 21c | 111$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.69 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d9…9695backed No | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0978…00e6backed No | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked No | 14c | 96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.56 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a1…de3dbacked No | 15c | 86.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.67 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea0…9928backed Yes | 72c | 81$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.72 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…5efebacked No | 26c | 80.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.38 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 26cpaid | +100%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 23c | 80$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 80c | 75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.7 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5b…23cabacked Yes | 75c | 66.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.03 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 26c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 19c | 59.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.34 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed No | 18c | 59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.38 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf385…4864backed Yes | 72c | 54.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Yes | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3602…b407backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c29…04ddbacked No | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4258…dc75backed No | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 27c | 37.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.71 | 149 | 38.9%58 W · 91 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c61…ac8bbacked Yes | 70c | 36.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…23ddbacked Yes | 80c | 25.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed Yes | 71c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbad6…9963backed Yes | 77c | 18.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Yes | 65c | 17.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…3cf8backed Yes | 74c | 15.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cyprus qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?this page
- Will Albania qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Azerbaijan qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No won
- Will Belgium qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No won
- Will Croatia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No won
- Will Estonia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Iceland qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Netherlands qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Norway qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Poland qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Portugal qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will San Marino qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Slovenia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No won
- Will Ukraine qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.