Music · resolved market
Will San Marino qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf5f5d742cb65b79776147d3ba54676cece390cd3f2e43773c43c00b6b8891f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $253,484
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $254,129
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $253,484 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4cf5…ab60backed No | 53c | 44,437$23,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,551.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c3…fb55backed Yes | 47c | 44,437$20,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,551.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc7…9ecabacked Yes | 47c | 39,821$18,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,105.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd085…df33backed No | 53c | 39,821$21,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,105.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf97…5923backed No | 37c | 30,015$11,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,105.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f96…1da6backed Yes | 63c | 30,015$18,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,105.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 54c | 2,979$1,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.2 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 40c | 2,268$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.99 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed No | 51c | 1,226$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.82 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed No | 44c | 1,149$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.38 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed No | 43c | 1,102$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.69 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…96bbbacked Yes | 59c | 1,012$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.17 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5df…15edbacked Yes | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb39…c696backed Yes | 51c | 924.24$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.64 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed No | 38c | 911$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.18 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 61c | 841.99$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.38 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8017…d7debacked Yes | 47c | 800$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +149.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…a5b0backed No | 53c | 755$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5b…b598backed Yes | 59c | 733.85$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.81 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd535…fa67backed No | 51c | 709.71$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.93 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 40c | 699.99$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Yes | 60c | 692.36$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.33 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1479…487cbacked Yes | 62c | 580.79$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.89 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed No | 54c | 476.73$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.97 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 44c | 390.74$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.24 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd174…f2aebacked No | 56c | 365$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8235…c814backed No | 53c | 365$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…d839backed No | 45c | 350.33$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.18 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x553a…d31ebacked No | 53c | 340$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 45c | 304.21$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.25 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf968…84bdbacked No | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…2e25backed No | 50c | 277$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.5 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 45c | 264.37$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.4 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8e…0824backed No | 53c | 245$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed Yes | 55c | 241.82$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.82 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed Yes | 50c | 241.69$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.35 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked No | 54c | 231$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.74 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed Yes | 54c | 229$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.34 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf385…4864backed Yes | 54c | 210.82$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.31 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Yes | 62c | 200.63$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.63 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd46c…f641backed No | 33c | 194$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.93 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb38a…8237backed Yes | 53c | 184.27$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.72 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e2…4d51backed Yes | 48c | 176.94$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked No | 47c | 176.6$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8e…d191backed Yes | 57c | 175.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.86 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 46c | 173.9$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c44…e239backed Yes | 58c | 171.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 58c | 166.72$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.47 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab4…4427backed Yes | 42c | 160$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4216…2daabacked Yes | 47c | 160$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…a0b3backed Yes | 67c | 157.16$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.86 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +115.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…272dbacked Yes | 63c | 150$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +355.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x242b…de00backed Yes | 58c | 141.5$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.43 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a0…eefbbacked No | 54c | 141.46$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87cd…6f2abacked No | 47c | 129$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.79 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e00…c7dcbacked No | 53c | 125$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed No | 31c | 123.46$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7e…d8afbacked No | 52c | 120$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed No | 47c | 119$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.59 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…81d1backed No | 39c | 115$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes | 56c | 102.52$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.01 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec0…f1b8backed No | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -53%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce4c…a1fcbacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed No | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0978…00e6backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81c1…974cbacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 55cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked No | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.76 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc33…d2f0backed Yes | 69c | 98.71$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd7…468ebacked No | 37c | 98.26$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a6…db37backed Yes | 61c | 95.32$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 53cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 53c | 93.17$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.16 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed No | 53c | 86.46$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cc…47bbbacked No | 53c | 85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa890…1c30backed No | 56c | 85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 49c | 82.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.06 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9e…3723backed Yes | 52c | 77.41$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.41 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -55%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e69…d84bbacked Yes | 55c | 71.47$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 47c | 67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe82…5c81backed No | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +76%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 54c | 57.03$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 36c | 56.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.03 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +5.6wins | +0.35per pick | 21cpaid | +237.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf701…5d7abacked Yes | 58c | 53.45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e27…d603backed No | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3602…b407backed Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe300…3a04backed No | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 39c | 48.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…ab48backed No | 46c | 45.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +7.6wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 37c | 44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 226 | 40.3%91 W · 135 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea4…c506backed Yes | 52c | 42.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +109%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed Yes | 67c | 42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204c…df35backed Yes | 55c | 41.82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee65…24d9backed No | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb26e…becdbacked Yes | 49c | 41.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97df…3088backed Yes | 66c | 41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…b6cabacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc900…4faebacked Yes | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +34%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 68c | 36.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 149 | 38.9%58 W · 91 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked No | 36c | 35.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee8…fac3backed No | 52c | 33.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will San Marino qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?this page
- Will Albania qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Azerbaijan qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No won
- Will Belgium qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No won
- Will Croatia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No won
- Will Cyprus qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No won
- Will Estonia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Iceland qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Netherlands qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Norway qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Poland qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Portugal qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Slovenia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No won
- Will Ukraine qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.