Music · resolved market
Will Slovenia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62c38e0012699a2fecb673b1b1ae94f3ebc233f92f73028a72a7d4522eabbf53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $167,399
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $168,212
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,399 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7018…a7eabacked No | 69c | 54,326$37,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,842.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…1c54backed Yes | 31c | 54,226$16,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,810.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed No | 61c | 19,390$11,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,645.03 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea0…9928backed Yes | 40c | 9,828$3,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,908.29 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed No | 55c | 9,301$5,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,175.21 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5b…23cabacked Yes | 32c | 6,912$2,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,210.34 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 37c | 5,004$1,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,838.5 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5be7…8fc6backed Yes | 51c | 4,115$2,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,101.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 66c | 4,067$2,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.73 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 48c | 3,663$1,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,765.51 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c78…f414backed No | 73c | 2,694$1,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.79 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 34c | 2,548$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.22 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 35c | 1,973$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.02 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd975…0a3ebacked Yes | 74c | 1,595$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…bedebacked Yes | 49c | 1,564$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.26 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd535…fa67backed No | 69c | 1,248$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.22 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed No | 48c | 1,212$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.36 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 32c | 1,091$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.62 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd46c…f641backed Yes | 36c | 1,038$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.53 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked Yes | 56c | 889.62$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.77 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb39…c696backed No | 51c | 810.44$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.76 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc011…6a60backed Yes | 45c | 804.99$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.95 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd2…2518backed No | 25c | 793.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.62 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd794…efe1backed Yes | 32c | 746.49$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.4 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Yes | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 52c | 597$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.44 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 41c | 542.49$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.05 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 65c | 500$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.5 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…2e25backed Yes | 50c | 470.91$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.58 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 57c | 432.77$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.97 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 38c | 428.97$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.41 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 39c | 427.99$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.31 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked Yes | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 70c | 383.5$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.81 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 39c | 319.5$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.7 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…b09ebacked Yes | 48c | 319.4$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.31 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ec…7b2ebacked Yes | 57c | 260.54$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.4 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dd…7564backed No | 42c | 240$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecde…c846backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6518…f798backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c61…ac8bbacked No | 55c | 184.33$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.23 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed No | 77c | 175$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.75 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9873…7cc5backed No | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 54c | 164.55$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.98 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22eb…ad17backed Yes | 63c | 159.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -5.7wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -72%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…d839backed No | 57c | 156.33$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Yes | 30c | 152.01$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked No | 66c | 143.93$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.44 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 41c | 140$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.28 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 42c | 138.68$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf385…4864backed Yes | 55c | 125.32$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.85 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked No | 64c | 124$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.66 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…81d1backed No | 42c | 120$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.2 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed Yes | 33c | 118.3$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c62…aa2bbacked Yes | 23c | 115.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 149 | 38.9%58 W · 91 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd470…783ebacked No | 49c | 88.88$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.33 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc6…411fbacked No | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c1…c1b8backed No | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae20…2ff9backed Yes | 47c | 67.18$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…f529backed No | 53c | 66.59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 76c | 66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 226 | 40.3%91 W · 135 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd713…4662backed Yes | 35c | 61.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5464…be5ebacked Yes | 36c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed No | 60c | 53.33$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -6.6wins | -0.41per pick | 60cpaid | -68%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d1…3377backed No | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked No | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…ab48backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +7.6wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed Yes | 55c | 46.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb18…6ed0backed Yes | 33c | 45.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ac…c8fcbacked No | 67c | 44.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4f…cb79backed No | 59c | 42.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87cd…6f2abacked No | 70c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a2…973cbacked Yes | 47c | 34.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7e…d8afbacked Yes | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe82…5c81backed Yes | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +76%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x89bf…2c05backed No | 47c | 29.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3602…b407backed Yes | 56c | 29.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6568…f587backed Yes | 67c | 28.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 65c | 27.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6365…616bbacked Yes | 53c | 25.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ba…9fd1backed Yes | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9118…e9dabacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -45%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4258…dc75backed Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc835…65dabacked No | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd882…0c09backed Yes | 57c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Slovenia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?this page
- Will Albania qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Azerbaijan qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No won
- Will Belgium qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No won
- Will Croatia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No won
- Will Cyprus qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No won
- Will Estonia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Iceland qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Netherlands qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Norway qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Poland qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Portugal qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will San Marino qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Ukraine qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.