Music · resolved market
Will Iceland qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee01953a2e8d6cb9583ca965c774cfb1eaa86ab92468f058ba8a79b21d30d1b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,976
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,526
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,976 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf5b…23cabacked Yes | 69c | 3,221$2,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.69 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 61c | 3,013$1,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,851.32 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 41c | 2,148$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.24 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked No | 63c | 1,842$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.47 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked No | 59c | 1,200$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…629cbacked No | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 55c | 918.46$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.97 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 12c | 832$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 12c | 832$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea0…9928backed No | 68c | 796.6$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.27 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…07c3backed Yes | 35c | 670$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 43cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc5…0c52backed Yes | 45c | 660.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.04 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02e4…7793backed Yes | 35c | 605$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd174…f2aebacked Yes | 36c | 605$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 41c | 600$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed No | 53c | 593.3$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.11 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9500…ebbcbacked No | 65c | 590$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…24c2backed No | 59c | 555$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.45 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.17per pick | 25cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 46c | 517.12$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.46 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…81d1backed Yes | 33c | 489$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.25 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb39…c696backed No | 59c | 465$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.35 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1240…3a3fbacked Yes | 43c | 411.29$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.46 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8017…d7debacked Yes | 35c | 380$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +149.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Yes | 29c | 346.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.8 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bd…2b47backed Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa20a…d03ebacked Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7e…d8afbacked Yes | 44c | 295$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.37 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd46c…f641backed Yes | 32c | 290$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.63 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97df…3088backed Yes | 51c | 279.03$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.18 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x144d…f0f2backed Yes | 43c | 240$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3a…02bfbacked Yes | 42c | 240$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…f3b9backed Yes | 42c | 235$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10c8…56f5backed Yes | 42c | 230$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a5…9f24backed Yes | 42c | 230$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…1d40backed Yes | 42c | 225$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed No | 72c | 217.52$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.34 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50bc…63dabacked Yes | 48c | 200$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…f204backed Yes | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.45 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.31per pick | 30cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 29c | 180.41$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…d839backed No | 59c | 180$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 67c | 179.44$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.12 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca46…b2ebbacked No | 58c | 175$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58cd…f1cdbacked No | 58c | 175$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed No | 59c | 171.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.21 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8877…e6ccbacked No | 58c | 170$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb2…4490backed No | 58c | 170$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6546…feecbacked No | 58c | 165$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf54…5abbbacked No | 58c | 165$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5364…b4debacked No | 58c | 165$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fab…9d63backed No | 58c | 165$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed Yes | 38c | 162.31$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.65 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +6.2wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Yes | 38c | 160.52$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.52 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 69c | 160.2$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.93 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 73c | 155$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.4 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994f…d982backed No | 65c | 155$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe300…3a04backed No | 57c | 150$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.1 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9873…7cc5backed No | 68c | 146.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 57c | 135.29$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.71 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c97…1b68backed Yes | 34c | 127.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.67 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed Yes | 31c | 118.3$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.12 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1479…487cbacked Yes | 32c | 118.29$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.43 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed No | 68c | 114.15$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.32 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 41c | 110.41$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.98 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fa…d16dbacked Yes | 34c | 107.26$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.72 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd882…0c09backed Yes | 40c | 105$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 59c | 103.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked No | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.75 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd7…468ebacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…b09ebacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3602…b407backed Yes | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.99 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4258…dc75backed Yes | 41c | 99.68$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.31 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 62c | 97.07$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 73c | 94.14$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.54 | 226 | 40.3%91 W · 135 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce59…0431backed Yes | 45c | 91.93$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a6…db37backed No | 61c | 89.55$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.87 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 53cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c61…ac8bbacked Yes | 41c | 80$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d1…3377backed No | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 67c | 75.56$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.91 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4216…2daabacked No | 64c | 75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9597…62e9backed No | 65c | 75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed No | 58c | 74.02$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 59c | 74$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.9 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 31c | 63.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.87 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.22per pick | 22cpaid | +123.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…5efebacked Yes | 32c | 63.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 26cpaid | +100%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed No | 74c | 61.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 23c | 60$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf385…4864backed Yes | 41c | 56.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.09 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3547…7064backed No | 65c | 55$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6457…834fbacked No | 64c | 55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 59c | 54.89$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d5…3629backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 65c | 52.52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…9cddbacked Yes | 48c | 50.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…2e25backed Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61e5…7bd5backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1296…0d1fbacked No | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…b68fbacked No | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c0…c408backed No | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeccd…76ddbacked Yes | 46c | 48.69$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Iceland qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?this page
- Will Albania qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Azerbaijan qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No won
- Will Belgium qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No won
- Will Croatia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No won
- Will Cyprus qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No won
- Will Estonia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Netherlands qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Norway qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Poland qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Portugal qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will San Marino qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Slovenia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No won
- Will Ukraine qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.