Music · resolved market
Will 'Cowboy Carter' win Album of the Year?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b4d70030f24d4eae335226191ac7fbfd93f1a45f0b1b57b639015b14625b54d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $153,966
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $143,512
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,966 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a86…b39ebacked No | 76c | 22,307$16,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,975.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +69%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6d…f860backed Yes | 21c | 12,676$2,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,062.28 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc658…b784backed Yes | 25c | 8,277$2,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,193.97 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 25c | 6,470$1,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,854.56 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked No | 69c | 4,681$3,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,213.81 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 27c | 4,464$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,263.4 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 22c | 4,290$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,336.72 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed Yes | 24c | 4,264$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,255.53 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 29c | 3,585$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,552.22 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes | 25c | 3,152$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.39 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 28c | 2,651$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,907.98 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd192…5569backed No | 75c | 2,519$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0479…f2ddbacked No | 73c | 2,494$1,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,815.37 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2625…b2f8backed Yes | 27c | 2,422$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.45 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +453.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…dfd8backed Yes | 17c | 2,395$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,987.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +284.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d4…ac0dbacked Yes | 23c | 2,394$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,832.84 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69aa…8847backed Yes | 24c | 2,299$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,747.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 23c | 2,236$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,722.11 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd03…c6e0backed Yes | 26c | 2,045$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 15c | 2,037$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.26 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8387…ace9backed Yes | 32c | 1,975$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.78 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +248.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…2529backed No | 80c | 1,682$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +255.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…0166backed Yes | 24c | 1,600$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.47 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2015…3fbfbacked Yes | 15c | 1,470$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +306.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 29c | 1,434$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.26 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 11c | 1,362$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.82 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 11c | 1,362$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.82 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe06…d5d5backed No | 75c | 1,354$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed No | 80c | 1,323$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.4 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4d…caa6backed No | 66c | 1,310$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 27c | 1,298$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.45 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x321a…b052backed No | 79c | 1,298$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…1d54backed Yes | 20c | 1,274$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +409.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bf…7851backed No | 75c | 1,260$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64c6…a070backed Yes | 22c | 1,228$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 17c | 1,217$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.17 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4c…b823backed Yes | 25c | 1,215$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 31cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c5…d103backed No | 75c | 1,215$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked Yes | 32c | 1,200$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.46per pick | 62cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5e…1740backed Yes | 29c | 1,142$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 24c | 1,133$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.79 | 226 | 40.3%91 W · 135 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2459…8d76backed Yes | 16c | 1,076$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.64 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 25c | 986.57$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.62 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 76c | 935.31$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.63 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 79c | 914.1$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.45 | 149 | 38.9%58 W · 91 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x899b…fbdfbacked Yes | 29c | 903.03$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc7…8f89backed Yes | 31c | 900$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3335…f6debacked No | 73c | 878$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba1…2af6backed No | 75c | 800$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.73 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4d…0b9abacked Yes | 33c | 793.23$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.24 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed Yes | 32c | 760.99$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.18 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 33c | 730.4$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.52 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 25c | 696.85$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.1 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 31c | 694.71$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.13 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x461a…4030backed Yes | 19c | 650$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x440d…55e6backed Yes | 24c | 647.47$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.52 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec7a…5bdfbacked No | 73c | 646.98$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed No | 40c | 622.64$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.91 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 25c | 599.99$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 23c | 555.15$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.97 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff21…f489backed Yes | 17c | 517.67$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +477.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e2…a960backed No | 74c | 513.42$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.93 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Yes | 28c | 510$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +166.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 23c | 507.51$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.43 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Yes | 30c | 497.82$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.48 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 30c | 474.6$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 33cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad85…78fcbacked Yes | 25c | 447.72$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.22 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.53per pick | 27cpaid | +269.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc173…b6e5backed No | 70c | 435.71$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8341…de89backed Yes | 23c | 433.1$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 26c | 430$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.57 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe17…dd5cbacked Yes | 39c | 412.7$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…81c4backed Yes | 43c | 400$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 23c | 399.64$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.93 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 22c | 382$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.44 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…e69dbacked Yes | 19c | 343.09$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed No | 71c | 341.71$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.6 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed Yes | 31c | 334$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.02 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 36c | 329$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.56 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0260…934abacked No | 68c | 320.59$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…9862backed Yes | 19c | 318.01$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 24c | 310$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.92 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8964…0becbacked Yes | 28c | 300$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed Yes | 25c | 285$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b4…0c6cbacked Yes | 26c | 272.93$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +106%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed Yes | 26c | 270$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.9 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe38d…6c36backed Yes | 26c | 270$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes | 14c | 266.35$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.06 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72e4…df9ebacked Yes | 20c | 252$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78c2…8316backed Yes | 20c | 250.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +401.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b7…92cebacked Yes | 26c | 250$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked No | 76c | 244.98$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.19 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 24c | 236$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.25 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…f8c4backed Yes | 28c | 235.24$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.81 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a45…9d4abacked No | 70c | 229.56$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.87 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Yes | 30c | 225.5$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.11 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca03…9e20backed Yes | 18c | 224.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 24c | 220$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.2 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc490…6507backed Yes | 20c | 208.13$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 73c | 206.82$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.82 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 'Cowboy Carter' win Album of the Year?this page
- Will 'BRAT' win Album of the Year?No won
- Will 'Djesse Vol. 4' win Album of the Year?No won
- Will 'Hit Me Hard and Soft' win Album of the Year?No won
- Will 'New Blue Sun' win Album of the Year?No won
- Will 'Short n' Sweet' win Album of the Year?No won
- Will 'The Rise and Fall of a Midwest Princess' win Album of the Year?No won
- Will 'The Tortured Poets Department' win Album of the Year?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.