Music · resolved market
Will 'BRAT' win Album of the Year?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e87bcd620d1c9f16f82e19f626f39047cbf152018461cb7146df27d981cbf1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,409
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,409 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Yes | 20c | 25,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked Yes | 13c | 12,026$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.68 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked Yes | 17c | 4,004$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -44%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2459…8d76backed Yes | 12c | 3,050$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.58 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed Yes | 15c | 2,338$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.8 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 14c | 2,119$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.21 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6115…2a89backed Yes | 14c | 1,605$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 13c | 1,403$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.83 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…0917backed Yes | 13c | 1,318$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe75c…f6c2backed Yes | 13c | 1,255$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.15 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 19c | 1,071$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.19 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d7…5672backed No | 80c | 1,005$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 11c | 965.48$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.43 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc658…b784backed Yes | 9c | 913.39$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.21 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 14c | 892.73$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.35 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd689…dc54backed Yes | 17c | 890.18$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed No | 80c | 772.69$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.54 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf716…82ccbacked Yes | 14c | 770$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3832…7044backed Yes | 13c | 753.83$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.31 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x577c…7dd1backed Yes | 12c | 750$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 80c | 740$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.8 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d4…ac0dbacked Yes | 14c | 687.93$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.18 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 13c | 600$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…0166backed Yes | 12c | 582.51$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.44 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 6c | 550$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec9…e566backed Yes | 9c | 544.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed Yes | 14c | 539$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.68 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad85…78fcbacked Yes | 16c | 520.45$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.53per pick | 27cpaid | +269.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…79bdbacked Yes | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 31cpaid | +165.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Yes | 11c | 453.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7387…7cc8backed Yes | 12c | 425.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked Yes | 14c | 411.94$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.03 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3335…f6debacked No | 77c | 409.73$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0916…8fdbbacked Yes | 20c | 406$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.1 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +108.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Yes | 12c | 403.25$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.19 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb869…c4c6backed Yes | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb27…4db3backed Yes | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…481ebacked Yes | 15c | 394.23$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed Yes | 13c | 391.29$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc7…8f89backed No | 78c | 354$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e09…e03abacked Yes | 15c | 343.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 11c | 304.06$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.45 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…126cbacked Yes | 14c | 294.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e8…c4abbacked Yes | 9c | 291.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7c…82d4backed Yes | 15c | 283.46$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0668…9869backed Yes | 15c | 276.11$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdee…b0d0backed Yes | 16c | 271.46$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a52…3e04backed Yes | 17c | 265.83$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc490…6507backed Yes | 12c | 259.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed No | 75c | 250$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4e…a18ebacked Yes | 16c | 245$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…aa39backed Yes | 13c | 238.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x266f…0229backed Yes | 15c | 234.88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x933b…22f7backed Yes | 11c | 228.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…bcfabacked Yes | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 13c | 224$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 12c | 221.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 38cpaid | +107.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…54d6backed Yes | 14c | 207$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3025…fccdbacked Yes | 13c | 200.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Yes | 20c | 199.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf97b…d61dbacked Yes | 15c | 191.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…a910backed Yes | 11c | 190$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 7c | 187.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 13c | 170$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f9…3ec3backed Yes | 18c | 166.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 16c | 153$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacaf…c501backed Yes | 15c | 150$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +103.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdab…cb26backed Yes | 13c | 130$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf41…1587backed Yes | 11c | 128$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…f8c4backed Yes | 21c | 121$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes | 19c | 120.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +167.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c92…de09backed Yes | 13c | 119.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…6a0dbacked Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3548…05ebbacked Yes | 16c | 113.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd14f…d46dbacked Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb73…a4bebacked Yes | 11c | 107$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf59…bb65backed Yes | 12c | 105.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 15c | 104.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ba…9fd1backed Yes | 10c | 102.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…8742backed Yes | 16c | 100.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab20…65fabacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7167…8ea3backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ab…b84dbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x795d…63e7backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +104%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2675…2374backed Yes | 11c | 97.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x394e…c26abacked Yes | 22c | 92.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…77c7backed Yes | 13c | 81.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked No | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5551…83cdbacked Yes | 14c | 75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68bc…4bb1backed Yes | 14c | 74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…7d0cbacked Yes | 21c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…94d6backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…37e6backed No | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad45…6fffbacked Yes | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…f172backed Yes | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e9…de83backed No | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…e129backed Yes | 40c | 49.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccf…34e6backed Yes | 26c | 49.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 'BRAT' win Album of the Year?this page
- Will 'Cowboy Carter' win Album of the Year?Yes won
- Will 'Djesse Vol. 4' win Album of the Year?No won
- Will 'Hit Me Hard and Soft' win Album of the Year?No won
- Will 'New Blue Sun' win Album of the Year?No won
- Will 'Short n' Sweet' win Album of the Year?No won
- Will 'The Rise and Fall of a Midwest Princess' win Album of the Year?No won
- Will 'The Tortured Poets Department' win Album of the Year?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.