TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Atalanta win on 2025-10-28?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$237,496
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$249,562

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $237,496 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd16a…7691backed Yes38c62,691$23,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,822.651233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3dd…a7e0backed Yes36c46,497$16,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,726.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No64c28,198$17,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,251.2224657.3%141 W · 105 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed No63c22,787$14,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,431.171850%9 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed No62c21,685$13,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,240.411848.3%57 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No63c11,806$7,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,406.992,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No62c9,795$6,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,722.1217543.4%76 W · 99 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No63c9,771$6,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,615.345761.4%35 W · 22 L+6.1wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked No64c9,401$5,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,431.025052%26 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No70c9,071$6,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,752.1212050.8%61 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaf0…153ebacked No64c8,000$5,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,880333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-47.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes37c7,500$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7501457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ce3…3bc3backed No77c5,702$4,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,331.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb703…1a39backed No68c5,616$3,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,797.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Yes38c5,208$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003630.6%11 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb90c…9a6abacked No65c3,000$1,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.99862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+64.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b59…232fbacked Yes38c2,612$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1993…0c02backed Yes39c2,553$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.5850%0 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No71c2,532$1,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.113754%74 W · 63 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed No64c2,350$1,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8463511.4%4 W · 31 L-4.8wins-0.14per pick25cpaid-74.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x260a…dbf6backed No65c2,046$1,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f09…b474backed Yes35c2,046$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.1475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick37cpaid+110.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No63c2,005$1,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.983046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+21%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes36c2,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7205158.8%30 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccc0…0fa5backed No64c2,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.991241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-32.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f54…8805backed Yes37c1,650$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.4930%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Yes38c1,579$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5263…3050backed Yes36c1,500$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6aa5…3272backed No64c1,500$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes37c1,359$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.799154.9%50 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+27.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Yes40c1,339$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.072254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdda2…4375backed No65c1,307$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.33966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes30c1,165$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.351,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No73c1,108$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.7324238.4%93 W · 149 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked No63c1,041$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.091752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+34.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked No62c1,022$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3889651%49 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9a2…85a0backed No65c819.99$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2871100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Yes37c804.36$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.6216154%87 W · 74 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x621c…ae1bbacked Yes37c800$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcac4…bf62backed No64c780.85$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4944…e4c7backed No66c757.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.582770.4%19 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes37c732.22$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.586550.8%33 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb4b…ab60backed Yes38c702.63$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes34c700$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23811832.2%38 W · 80 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9117…cecabacked No65c696.83$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.838548.2%41 W · 44 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No79c640$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.7232843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No62c600$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22812049.2%59 W · 61 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked No63c599.99$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2212638.5%10 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x278a…95dbbacked No63c555.56$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44c1…aa71backed Yes21c544.24$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.29825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-58.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd99e…9c9abacked Yes37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005451.9%28 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac99…56a1backed Yes30c444.44$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yes24c429.17$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+55.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes36c425.8$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.5241943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03d2…7fb7backed Yes19c425$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.75650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23c3…bdf4backed No64c421.88$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.882055%11 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Yes37c416.93$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1562360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes35c392$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.6713840.6%56 W · 82 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa856…3964backed No65c384.62$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.62425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-61.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No74c380.72$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.1135646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1d4…9266backed Yes36c369.44$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1331145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+23%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d76…1298backed No80c333$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0a…09a6backed Yes11c332.91$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.62742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid+17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed No67c324.93$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.682450%12 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x628e…a488backed No63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.461643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick62cpaid-40.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes26c314.43$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.5459240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked Yes36c312.36$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.451926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0324…c07bbacked No65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes35c300.02$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.0144753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes36c300$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10811837.3%44 W · 74 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd715…915abacked Yes37c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7647…9f44backed Yes34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a62…57cabacked Yes17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-25.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6b4…45debacked Yes37c291.89$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc72b…3756backed No64c285$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.61154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Yes36c280$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.815450%77 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f79…7ed4backed Yes37c270.31$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.313020%6 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-37.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007337%27 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Yes35c241$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.359643.8%42 W · 54 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x06da…3181backed Yes38c232.06$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.542055%11 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+51%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x810c…51cabacked No65c230.77$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.77683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick74cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x661c…3b7bbacked Yes23c218.48$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick30cpaid+153.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x694e…8d20backed Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe19…3c19backed Yes21c214.29$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38c0…659ebacked Yes35c210$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfde8…c52fbacked Yes19c209.89$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x201c…3418backed Yes37c189.57$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x953d…c08fbacked Yes37c189.19$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+31%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No63c188$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.628556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No64c174.99$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6314742.9%63 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ea5…67e8backed Yes38c157.89$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x091e…3432backed Yes36c155.86$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.11812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.4wins-0.42per pick54cpaid-78.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed No65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8513155%72 W · 59 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked No65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.852748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+31.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No72c152$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.110260.8%62 W · 40 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed No66c151.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.892955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.525560%33 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4dc4…306fbacked Yes35c150$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.52740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6364…09a8backed Yes33c150$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.530%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.