TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Atalanta vs. AC Milan end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,928
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,379

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,928 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf519…906bbacked Yes30c5,589$1,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,918.4821058.6%123 W · 87 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No39c3,643$1,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,420.641,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x942c…fb3abacked Yes30c3,333$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,333.33580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+55.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No69c3,234$2,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,221.012,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebf1…1d5dbacked Yes79c2,526$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.162100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No70c2,498$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,749.5216154%87 W · 74 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed No70c2,033$1,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,422.941850%9 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No70c1,800$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2609149.5%45 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+110.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No32c1,744$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.7112050.8%61 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No70c1,635$1,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,144.572835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Yes27c1,096$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.431145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f17…6b7cbacked No71c800$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9047…b9d2backed Yes29c800$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5682100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick40cpaid+172.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Yes41c717.27$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.44944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Yes30c666.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.675726.3%15 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes30c666.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.676822.1%15 W · 53 L-7.3wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-35.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Yes52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.922853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes58c445$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.332843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No36c437.04$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.9135646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No71c422.54$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30015357.5%88 W · 65 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No28c410.94$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.1659240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes70c384.09$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.235451.9%28 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Yes30c380.14$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.124657.3%141 W · 105 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No6c342.76$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.81565.4%3 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick5cpaid+97.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bc1…716bbacked Yes30c333$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.1560%3 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick30cpaid+116.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc72b…3756backed No65c285$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.251154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes72c280$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.428445.4%129 W · 155 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf597…f4aebacked Yes72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.78250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd397…a2e7backed Yes38c247.37$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1338…f574backed Yes51c211.68$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe42e…8d89backed Yes30c205$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.52737%10 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes28c200$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1446550.8%33 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes37c197.36$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.348958.4%52 W · 37 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No70c178.33$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.8322551.6%116 W · 109 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1166…a8e1backed Yes29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.411154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+37.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes30c166.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.6713826.1%36 W · 102 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4caf…6de9backed Yes30c166.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.673141.9%13 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76da…30a2backed Yes30c166.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.675856.9%33 W · 25 L+7.6wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+39.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x44d6…aafdbacked Yes30c166.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.673132.3%10 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a87…4e00backed Yes28c153.41$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.462040%8 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+23.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa65b…0419backed Yes66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.522060%12 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Yes30c151.37$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.9611429.8%34 W · 80 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6a1…9fd5backed Yes63c150$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+32.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8d2…2381backed Yes31c130.39$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.971258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+72.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No63c127.63$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.924238.4%93 W · 149 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcece…8c50backed Yes29c127.59$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.59560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+31.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x30e1…2300backed Yes63c110.53$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.664100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes30c110$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7711667.2%78 W · 38 L+10.9wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+14.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa903…bcd2backed Yes30c109.47$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.63825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-35.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34c7…66a3backed Yes76c103$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.72683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick67cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a50…ff53backed Yes29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711650%8 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707138%27 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fb7…082dbacked Yes51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b2b…d4d3backed No71c97.74$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick39cpaid-69.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa7c8…a865backed Yes32c93.75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+56.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf270…6015backed No48c91.67$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b3…403bbacked Yes30c90$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+37.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9007…2421backed Yes29c87.27$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.561225%3 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d24…a93fbacked No60c84$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.47166.2%47 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick67cpaid+0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1114…d59abacked Yes48c83.85$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.85475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x066e…d3ddbacked Yes31c80.65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.65475%3 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick33cpaid+170.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x787c…7ae2backed Yes70c78$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.41353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+22.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No21c77.84$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.543058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9748…bcf4backed Yes40c75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+103.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes27c69.79$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.7313754%74 W · 63 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1252…da0bbacked Yes29c68.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.971118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-41.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Yes59c67.8$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.88965.2%58 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick65cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked Yes30c66.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.672516%4 W · 21 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-49.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x29bf…08a1backed Yes30c65$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.53243.8%14 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd83…5df4backed Yes63c63.78$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.853100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+86.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Yes79c61.78$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.973259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc759…b0d2backed No35c60.96$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.162740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f43…1754backed No59c58.85$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.721747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x559e…7fe2backed Yes76c52.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.631866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Yes31c52.39$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.156553.8%35 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa9f…a3f3backed Yes41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.78683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+49.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x604a…8379backed Yes41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.78728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-41.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb61…bd7fbacked No75c44.92$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.691947.4%9 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.16per pick64cpaid-30%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb1ec…157abacked Yes46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.482100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+86.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3e2…1026backed Yes72c43.44$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.161060%6 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+22.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c48…327abacked Yes47c42.19$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+110.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8304…f086backed No72c40$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6425%1 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick75cpaid-67.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x695a…d3d6backed Yes30c40$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8545…da3bbacked Yes50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+29.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b52…011dbacked Yes29c40$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+81.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe18c…5bc3backed Yes30c40$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b3…3a58backed Yes28c37$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.782360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x584f…af4bbacked No72c35.22$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Yes29c34.99$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8511666.4%77 W · 39 L+14.6wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+27%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x7980…b49abacked Yes63c28.57$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.57333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49ae…e2a7backed Yes77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.972100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42ae…071dbacked Yes79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5b2…16bcbacked Yes47c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e23…f09abacked Yes40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+20.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No70c21$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.710163.4%64 W · 37 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x567b…27d7backed No62c20.97$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-45.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf99d…f867backed No62c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.46056.7%34 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.