Music · resolved market
Will Albania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04eb90471a345697fb600e83ed6c2204e4df37a990dba0516438c1bc118da3ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $134,908
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $140,142
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,908 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 59c | 43,798$25,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,161.45 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb43b…62b4backed No | 42c | 26,922$11,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,307.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a8…974cbacked Yes | 58c | 26,922$15,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,307.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed No | 37c | 25,842$9,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,486.09 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc814…dc7cbacked No | 51c | 5,181$2,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,641.96 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes | 63c | 5,000$3,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,858.87 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked No | 49c | 4,057$1,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,987.93 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 31c | 2,916$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.96 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Yes | 73c | 2,850$2,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.76 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46c…f641backed No | 47c | 2,111$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.34 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…caefbacked No | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 71c | 1,815$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.43 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked No | 31c | 1,582$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.07 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked No | 47c | 1,500$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 28c | 1,430$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.38 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 25c | 1,364$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.68 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 41c | 1,066$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.43 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed No | 46c | 970.17$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.55 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…b09ebacked No | 47c | 910.43$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.7 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 52c | 815.72$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.5 | 149 | 38.9%58 W · 91 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa43f…2972backed Yes | 64c | 795.86$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd794…efe1backed No | 35c | 745.04$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.6 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbba4…f8c6backed No | 16c | 719.96$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.4 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1e…49d9backed No | 49c | 681.99$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.15 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75c…f6c2backed Yes | 69c | 671.12$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.28 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…d839backed No | 49c | 668.3$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.37 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9e…3723backed Yes | 57c | 635.97$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.97 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -55%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 72c | 600$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.76 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb38a…8237backed Yes | 75c | 567.34$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 34c | 548.8$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.99 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebf…83cebacked Yes | 75c | 529.62$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.91 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 42cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 33c | 523.98$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.53 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 45c | 511.62$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.62 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 25c | 492.64$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.16 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +6.4wins | +0.29per pick | 26cpaid | +157.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c1…c1b8backed No | 31c | 487.31$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked No | 27c | 461.48$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed No | 25c | 460.47$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 51c | 426.99$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.55 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5b…23cabacked No | 48c | 400.31$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.47 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…0571backed No | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.5 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd535…fa67backed Yes | 75c | 375$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.75 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 26c | 300$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 52c | 299.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked Yes | 54c | 276.59$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.91 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd2…2518backed Yes | 75c | 275.14$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 37c | 265.75$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.37 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6359…9c9cbacked Yes | 77c | 261.04$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked No | 37c | 255$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 44c | 254.73$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.79 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c9…52dabacked Yes | 59c | 254.49$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -43%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…272dbacked Yes | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +355.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 78c | 237.99$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.07 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked No | 31c | 223.24$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.76 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed No | 37c | 220$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.4 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe966…c1c2backed No | 30c | 217.5$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc173…b6e5backed No | 45c | 204.89$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…f204backed Yes | 61c | 200$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.31per pick | 30cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xecde…c846backed Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed No | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 33c | 200$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.4 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…24c2backed Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.17per pick | 25cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Yes | 75c | 195.01$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.23 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 71c | 183.28$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed Yes | 62c | 171.66$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.5 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed No | 50c | 158.45$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.67 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 22c | 150.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.51 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf968…84bdbacked No | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed No | 44c | 141.67$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.67 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 37c | 134.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.38 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbe…088dbacked Yes | 79c | 127$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b9…66acbacked No | 27c | 125.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x730c…f684backed Yes | 50c | 124.92$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8d…5232backed No | 43c | 116$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba6…2f9dbacked No | 27c | 115.2$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…6a5dbacked No | 27c | 110.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +98%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 27c | 107.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed No | 50c | 101.96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…81d1backed No | 24c | 101.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 25c | 100.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3602…b407backed No | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6518…f798backed No | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d3…a093backed Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed Yes | 73c | 99.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +6.2wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe03d…189abacked Yes | 77c | 90.91$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed No | 42c | 88.52$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.18 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeccd…76ddbacked No | 26c | 88.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50bc…63dabacked No | 33c | 86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked No | 43c | 81.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f7…35e5backed No | 37c | 81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed No | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98cc…5fd4backed Yes | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4406…4b19backed No | 45c | 79.78$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…a952backed No | 26c | 76.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8628…f894backed No | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6c…eb44backed No | 39c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d9…9695backed Yes | 57c | 70$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf385…4864backed No | 29c | 67.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…7a4abacked No | 31c | 64.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Albania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?this page
- Will Armenia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Australia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Austria finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
- Will Azerbaijan finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Belgium finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Croatia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Cyprus finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Czechia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Denmark finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
- Will Finland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will France finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
- Will Georgia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Germany finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Greece finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
- Will Iceland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Ireland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Israel finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
- Will Italy finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
- Will Latvia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Lithuania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Luxembourg finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Malta finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Montenegro finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Netherlands finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Norway finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Poland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Portugal finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will San Marino finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Serbia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Slovenia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Spain finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Sweden finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
- Will Switzerland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
- Will Ukraine finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
- Will United Kingdom finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.