TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Music · resolved market

Will Albania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$134,908
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$140,142

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,908 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Music
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb747…b050backed Yes59c43,798$25,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,161.455145.1%23 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+30.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb43b…62b4backed No42c26,922$11,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,307.24250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85a8…974cbacked Yes58c26,922$15,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,307.242100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8e0…1dd2backed No37c25,842$9,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,486.091931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc814…dc7cbacked No51c5,181$2,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,641.96825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-60.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes63c5,000$3,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,858.872035%7 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22d3…5e3abacked No49c4,057$1,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,987.936642.4%28 W · 38 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked No31c2,916$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.962524%6 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick18cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa815…a3c3backed Yes73c2,850$2,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.761250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd46c…f641backed No47c2,111$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.344240.5%17 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+25.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4344…caefbacked No47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes71c1,815$1,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.433023.3%7 W · 23 L-4.3wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-63.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked No31c1,582$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.074748.9%23 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked No47c1,500$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7002245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No28c1,430$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.384643.5%20 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+38.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed No25c1,364$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.683438.2%13 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No41c1,066$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.4312835.9%46 W · 82 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04d7…b035backed No46c970.17$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.5514835.8%53 W · 95 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick30cpaid-10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x03f9…b09ebacked No47c910.43$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.71827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-40.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes52c815.72$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.514938.9%58 W · 91 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa43f…2972backed Yes64c795.86$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.06333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd794…efe1backed No35c745.04$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.61625%4 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbba4…f8c6backed No16c719.96$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.43030%9 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e1e…49d9backed No49c681.99$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.151827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-20.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe75c…f6c2backed Yes69c671.12$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.282240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+39.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe07…d839backed No49c668.3$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.374344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd9e…3723backed Yes57c635.97$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.971225%3 W · 9 L-3.4wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-55%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x06dc…af59backed Yes72c600$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.764440.9%18 W · 26 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb38a…8237backed Yes75c567.34$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.16666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb410…7736backed No34c548.8$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.997345.2%33 W · 40 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ebf…83cebacked Yes75c529.62$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.911010%1 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.32per pick42cpaid-86.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No33c523.98$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.537027.1%19 W · 51 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No45c511.62$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.627740.3%31 W · 46 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a61…af24backed No25c492.64$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.162254.5%12 W · 10 L+6.4wins+0.29per pick26cpaid+157.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xb9c1…c1b8backed No31c487.31$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503327.3%9 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41f0…3eebbacked No27c461.48$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12410630.2%32 W · 74 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42e0…0578backed No25c460.47$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.12650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Yes51c426.99$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.5519939.2%78 W · 121 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf5b…23cabacked No48c400.31$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.473941%16 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3474…0571backed No28c400$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.53348.5%16 W · 17 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick35cpaid+31.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd535…fa67backed Yes75c375$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.753839.5%15 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes26c300$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22222927.9%64 W · 165 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6828…1056backed Yes52c299.99$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1444946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6770…45fbbacked Yes54c276.59$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.919335.5%33 W · 60 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dd2…2518backed Yes75c275.14$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.14837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed No37c265.75$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.373450%17 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6359…9c9cbacked Yes77c261.04$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-56.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b0b…3f0bbacked No37c255$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953935.9%14 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked No44c254.73$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.797343.8%32 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7c9…52dabacked Yes59c254.49$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.56333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-43%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc550…272dbacked Yes60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+355.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes78c237.99$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.072832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked No31c223.24$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.762015%3 W · 17 L-4.8wins-0.24per pick39cpaid-77.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4b7a…4817backed No37c220$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.43444.1%15 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe966…c1c2backed No30c217.5$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.251030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-46.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc173…b6e5backed No45c204.89$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-52.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa877…f204backed Yes61c200$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.61361.5%8 W · 5 L+4.1wins+0.31per pick30cpaid+71.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xecde…c846backed Yes75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505030%15 W · 35 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed No25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503330.3%10 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked No33c200$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.45738.6%22 W · 35 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66e7…24c2backed Yes58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84267.7%2 W · 24 L-4.5wins-0.17per pick25cpaid-86.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x50b2…c94abacked Yes55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x524c…64c8backed Yes75c195.01$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.231910.5%2 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-70.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Yes71c183.28$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.41560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dee…f4e6backed Yes62c171.66$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.54953.1%26 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ee1…9801backed No50c158.45$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.675320.8%11 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No22c150.71$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.511844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed Yes49c150$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.56533.8%22 W · 43 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf968…84bdbacked No27c150$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.54928.6%14 W · 35 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+41.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x805a…0635backed No44c141.67$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.672951.7%15 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed No37c134.08$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.383154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bbe…088dbacked Yes79c127$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.041050%5 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid+3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3b9…66acbacked No27c125.93$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick53cpaid+4.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x730c…f684backed Yes50c124.92$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.21333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-33.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc8d…5232backed No43c116$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.881838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba6…2f9dbacked No27c115.2$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.11250%6 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+38.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc3ec…6a5dbacked No27c110.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.85475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.39per pick36cpaid+98%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed No27c107.15$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.935554.5%30 W · 25 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+22.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed No50c101.96$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.967234.7%25 W · 47 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a25…81d1backed No24c101.83$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.33429.4%10 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-26.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed No25c100.36$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253737.8%14 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3602…b407backed No24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243141.9%13 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6518…f798backed No24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+34.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb6d3…a093backed Yes78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221060%6 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79ad…a9f1backed Yes73c99.99$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274461.4%27 W · 17 L+6.2wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+21.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe03d…189abacked Yes77c90.91$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.91944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…e834backed No42c88.52$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.181850%9 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeccd…76ddbacked No26c88.5$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23825%2 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50bc…63dabacked No33c86$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+29.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked No43c81.96$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2615119.2%29 W · 122 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick21cpaid+48.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43f7…35e5backed No37c81$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.25728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-51.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x051d…6980backed No50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+43.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98cc…5fd4backed Yes60c80$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+59.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4406…4b19backed No45c79.78$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.93740.5%15 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd96a…a952backed No26c76.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8628…f894backed No27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf6c…eb44backed No39c70$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.45046%23 W · 27 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+6.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3d9…9695backed Yes57c70$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.32035%7 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf385…4864backed No29c67.5$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.284447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2ea7…7a4abacked No31c64.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.