Music · resolved market
Will Czechia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd659203e5ffb6f355213efdbc6a72844ba40ed6d63237045ea7cddcbb8938e9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,473
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,473 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf5b…23cabacked No | 55c | 2,563$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.27 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 44c | 1,824$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.65 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…24c2backed Yes | 19c | 1,500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.17per pick | 25cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 27c | 1,024$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.69 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 58c | 778.84$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.84 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27c1…f4acbacked No | 67c | 447.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.41 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…5d8ebacked Yes | 18c | 384.56$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.24 | 38 | 5.3%2 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -91.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked No | 71c | 370$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.8 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 40c | 300$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.08 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89c6…7961backed Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -63%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e27…d603backed Yes | 36c | 290$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 40c | 263.49$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.3 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Yes | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 36c | 234.75$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.51 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 59c | 227.78$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.39 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6518…f798backed Yes | 39c | 200$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe03d…189abacked Yes | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed Yes | 37c | 188.15$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.94 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 9c | 166$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb64…4eb4backed Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…54d6backed Yes | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…2e25backed No | 69c | 145.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.98 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed No | 58c | 108.11$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.33 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…9dedbacked Yes | 44c | 105.75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.03 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4406…4b19backed No | 78c | 105.09$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 41c | 100.2$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.08 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9e…3723backed Yes | 40c | 100.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -55%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce1d…81dbbacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…b09ebacked No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdef7…ef42backed Yes | 13c | 97.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 50c | 93$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.37 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 49c | 84.77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.22 | 149 | 38.9%58 W · 91 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes | 37c | 71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed No | 74c | 65.56$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed49…5754backed Yes | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca0…e17abacked Yes | 32c | 63.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf97…91debacked Yes | 17c | 62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 48c | 53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 226 | 40.3%91 W · 135 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c00…0788backed Yes | 34c | 52.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…fc20backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x246a…19b8backed Yes | 43c | 48.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c11…c503backed Yes | 26c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87cd…6f2abacked No | 61c | 42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed Yes | 51c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f0…3213backed No | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…d839backed No | 77c | 39.01$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…3832backed No | 48c | 22.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Czechia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?this page
- Will Albania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
- Will Armenia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Australia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Austria finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
- Will Azerbaijan finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Belgium finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Croatia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Cyprus finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Denmark finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
- Will Finland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will France finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
- Will Georgia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Germany finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Greece finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
- Will Iceland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Ireland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Israel finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
- Will Italy finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
- Will Latvia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Lithuania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Luxembourg finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Malta finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Montenegro finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Netherlands finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Norway finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Poland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Portugal finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will San Marino finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Serbia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Slovenia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Spain finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Sweden finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
- Will Switzerland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
- Will Ukraine finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
- Will United Kingdom finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.