Music · resolved market
Will Italy finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x176669e90d42f4a93befee1d070bdf6537783e11095f3c545eb6946423029af3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,358
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,420
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,358 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 54c | 2,955$1,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.62 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5b…23cabacked No | 69c | 2,831$1,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,962.48 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5be7…8fc6backed No | 67c | 1,679$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed No | 68c | 1,156$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.56 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f9…eb40backed Yes | 32c | 860.41$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +150.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd35c…c2debacked No | 66c | 860$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbba4…f8c6backed No | 14c | 849.98$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.49 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked Yes | 38c | 798.95$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.95 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Yes | 28c | 722.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +197.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked Yes | 36c | 710.2$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.6 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 23c | 701.6$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.15 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked No | 72c | 684$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.44 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6256…3c82backed Yes | 29c | 675$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe10…95cbbacked Yes | 33c | 660$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.2 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd46c…f641backed No | 70c | 647.9$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.37 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked No | 68c | 646.94$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.22 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffa…0ae6backed Yes | 34c | 645$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x482b…34acbacked Yes | 32c | 645$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +124.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed No | 67c | 593.94$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.91 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…81d1backed Yes | 32c | 587$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.78 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77a1…de3dbacked No | 70c | 572.27$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Yes | 26c | 566$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.88 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b2…296ebacked Yes | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.56 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 16cpaid | +208.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1952…c5c8backed Yes | 39c | 526.72$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…d839backed No | 71c | 500.1$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.24 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Yes | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes | 33c | 475.68$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.09 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked No | 67c | 453.49$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 67c | 434.9$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.51 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4406…4b19backed No | 66c | 406.24$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.43 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6281…53afbacked Yes | 61c | 396.16$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c61…ac8bbacked Yes | 43c | 349.99$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.44 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 69c | 334.01$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.47 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccd…b2b5backed Yes | 29c | 325$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2365…4bfbbacked Yes | 33c | 316.32$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.42per pick | 29cpaid | +265%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5bff…63e0backed Yes | 35c | 312.22$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.22 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab8c…bfefbacked Yes | 29c | 311.18$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +184.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…b409backed Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 23cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x246a…19b8backed Yes | 32c | 284.97$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.04 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b97…e1b1backed No | 71c | 280$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3af8…5b25backed No | 71c | 280$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ed…5723backed No | 71c | 275$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24f2…f6c4backed Yes | 34c | 264.91$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf968…84bdbacked Yes | 34c | 250$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.5 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6d…3953backed Yes | 33c | 227.79$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.37 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd76…6c23backed Yes | 33c | 220$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 36c | 206.74$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.91 | 149 | 38.9%58 W · 91 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 54c | 205.14$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.74 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe82…5c81backed Yes | 30c | 200$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.6 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +76%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 68c | 199.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.49 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…6ad8backed Yes | 40c | 198.9$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…bf3ebacked Yes | 26c | 190.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.43 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +446.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61e5…7bd5backed Yes | 34c | 190$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…d655backed Yes | 33c | 190$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecde…c846backed No | 66c | 171.61$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.87 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa890…1c30backed Yes | 34c | 165$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.9 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed No | 66c | 157.01$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.63 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa823…851fbacked Yes | 41c | 149.71$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.7 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3985…cfebbacked Yes | 49c | 147.51$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb277…d809backed Yes | 35c | 147.47$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.86 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87cd…6f2abacked No | 72c | 134.73$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.62 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 70c | 131.57$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.57 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 28c | 130.87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.1 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed Yes | 63c | 130.48$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +6.2wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 65c | 130.31$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.24 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed No | 67c | 129$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.09 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 31c | 125.04$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c79…7d41backed No | 71c | 125$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd3…cc49backed No | 70c | 125$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f0…3213backed Yes | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d4…69efbacked Yes | 36c | 110.81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked No | 62c | 109.98$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.49 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc6…411fbacked Yes | 28c | 106.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.18 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed No | 55c | 102.22$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.22 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3596…6c81backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…9dedbacked No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes | 28c | 99.13$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.96 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…b09ebacked Yes | 40c | 97$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.06 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…6ee3backed No | 18c | 90$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 66c | 84.27$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.62 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 62c | 81.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d0…4e7dbacked Yes | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf385…4864backed No | 65c | 79.6$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.56 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcca3…4e45backed Yes | 33c | 79.16$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb64…4eb4backed Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 70c | 75.69$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.32 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b8…9104backed No | 65c | 70$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…9560backed No | 65c | 70$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed No | 67c | 70$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.69 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d6…2da7backed No | 66c | 70$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…012bbacked Yes | 35c | 69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 65c | 67.38$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c1…c1b8backed No | 62c | 64.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5949…1ecbbacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.44per pick | 31cpaid | +119%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…4fe9backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Yes | 36c | 59.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.03 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Italy finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?this page
- Will Albania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
- Will Armenia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Australia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Austria finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
- Will Azerbaijan finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Belgium finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Croatia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Cyprus finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Czechia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Denmark finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
- Will Finland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will France finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
- Will Georgia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Germany finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Greece finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
- Will Iceland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Ireland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Israel finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
- Will Latvia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Lithuania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Luxembourg finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Malta finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Montenegro finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Netherlands finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Norway finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Poland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Portugal finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will San Marino finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Serbia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Slovenia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Spain finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Sweden finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
- Will Switzerland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
- Will Ukraine finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
- Will United Kingdom finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.