Music · resolved market
Will Greece finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd29f24674c9df3154a733931d3b342d50f69e69b769646e8511442280209bc94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,522
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,142
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,522 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 32c | 54,637$17,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,329.18 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 64c | 17,605$11,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,239.51 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked No | 72c | 12,363$8,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,875.38 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed No | 66c | 6,073$4,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,004.73 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5b…23cabacked No | 77c | 3,948$3,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,032.07 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 67c | 3,206$2,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,157.64 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…637ebacked No | 77c | 3,000$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 67c | 1,958$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.96 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 66c | 1,832$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.82 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 31c | 1,222$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.85 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 67c | 1,204$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.67 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…149bbacked No | 72c | 1,069$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked No | 71c | 1,051$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.88 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked No | 79c | 1,050$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.5 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 64c | 962.66$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.54 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 67c | 921.36$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.21 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 66c | 848.58$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.06 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…2e25backed Yes | 24c | 839.78$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.23 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 31c | 799.99$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.99 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 66c | 791.63$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.02 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 74c | 769.67$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.36 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe10…95cbbacked Yes | 35c | 630$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e7…b0f7backed No | 66c | 606.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked No | 66c | 596.97$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…d839backed No | 79c | 500.48$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.31 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Yes | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed No | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 36c | 485.29$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.44 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dee…e4a3backed Yes | 35c | 479.18$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8e…d191backed Yes | 36c | 466.2$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.1 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba6…2f9dbacked Yes | 34c | 439.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.39 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…fae7backed Yes | 46c | 439.68$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 23cpaid | +85%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a58…9a5ebacked Yes | 38c | 399.6$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf385…4864backed Yes | 33c | 388.99$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.23 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80e0…7ffabacked No | 66c | 380.3$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x22eb…ad17backed No | 68c | 369.26$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -5.7wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -72%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbba4…f8c6backed No | 53c | 349.96$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.48 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c6…7961backed Yes | 17c | 328.36$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.76 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -63%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe966…c1c2backed No | 67c | 309.85$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.39 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed No | 62c | 299.75$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.87 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +307.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x203c…6d7fbacked Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…96bbbacked Yes | 48c | 261.72$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4228…87c2backed No | 66c | 256.29$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…6ad8backed Yes | 36c | 249.8$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d36…111bbacked Yes | 17c | 230.12$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4406…4b19backed No | 74c | 228.69$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Yes | 22c | 215.82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.16 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb277…d809backed No | 62c | 200.59$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.78 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…140ebacked Yes | 35c | 183.33$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.33 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe82…5c81backed Yes | 28c | 170$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.6 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +76%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed No | 62c | 150$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c8…dec4backed Yes | 23c | 146.38$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.97 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5a…5721backed Yes | 25c | 135.2$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.08 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 32cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x665b…7614backed Yes | 19c | 131.57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +157.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…3ccbbacked Yes | 38c | 130.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf7a…7ddcbacked Yes | 22c | 111.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +363.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed No | 73c | 105$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.13 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a2…73c4backed Yes | 39c | 104.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 16cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf134…2322backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 18cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked Yes | 42c | 95.69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe300…3a04backed No | 64c | 92.74$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.79 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb1…b027backed No | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…6a5dbacked Yes | 36c | 75.56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +98%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b9…66acbacked No | 72c | 73.61$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf638…8c7abacked No | 72c | 69.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fa…656ebacked Yes | 21c | 69.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +369.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -6.6wins | -0.41per pick | 60cpaid | -68%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe73f…c247backed Yes | 44c | 63.19$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed No | 65c | 61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed No | 77c | 58.89$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked No | 75c | 58.46$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.69 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…f529backed Yes | 36c | 56.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.16 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc6…20b4backed Yes | 18c | 56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +167.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…456fbacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c05…0d89backed Yes | 36c | 55.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +176.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ac…c8fcbacked Yes | 18c | 54.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb26e…becdbacked Yes | 38c | 52.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked No | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x978d…5eddbacked No | 79c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…2f18backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85f2…5990backed Yes | 38c | 47.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3def…08b4backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed No | 79c | 39.8$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9add…9a45backed Yes | 50c | 33.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd85c…f1f0backed Yes | 62c | 32.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cd…c1eebacked Yes | 63c | 23.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +197.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed No | 61c | 21.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…bfe7backed Yes | 63c | 21.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed No | 80c | 21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddf…1b96backed Yes | 50c | 20.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…4fafbacked No | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 78c | 19.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c77…5aafbacked No | 80c | 15.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Greece finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?this page
- Will Albania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
- Will Armenia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Australia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Austria finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
- Will Azerbaijan finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Belgium finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Croatia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Cyprus finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Czechia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Denmark finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
- Will Finland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will France finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
- Will Georgia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Germany finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Iceland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Ireland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Israel finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
- Will Italy finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
- Will Latvia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Lithuania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Luxembourg finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Malta finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Montenegro finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Netherlands finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Norway finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Poland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Portugal finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will San Marino finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Serbia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Slovenia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Spain finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Sweden finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
- Will Switzerland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
- Will Ukraine finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
- Will United Kingdom finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.