Music · resolved market
Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86197f4c28d67243d1df0959804b7e440e404bcaa43fb5ce360c3160c1d7898d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $194,957
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $178,437
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $194,957 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb747…b050backed No | 36c | 33,127$12,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,039.53 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Yes | 70c | 28,110$19,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,409.46 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a0…2265backed Yes | 61c | 28,078$17,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,950.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7c…ead5backed No | 39c | 28,078$10,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,950.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed No | 22c | 13,065$2,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,858.98 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 20c | 11,889$2,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,406.22 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…4953backed Yes | 61c | 7,071$4,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,753.63 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdadc…6295backed No | 23c | 7,055$1,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ad…337dbacked No | 25c | 6,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 27c | 5,042$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.27 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked No | 30c | 5,000$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.91 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcb…36f0backed Yes | 66c | 3,879$2,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.79 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 24c | 3,536$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.02 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27c1…f4acbacked Yes | 76c | 3,439$2,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.6 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 26c | 3,412$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.36 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed No | 14c | 3,056$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.87 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +307.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 64c | 2,485$1,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.54 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 22c | 2,083$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.62 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked No | 27c | 2,001$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.05 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed No | 27c | 1,751$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.34 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…81d1backed No | 25c | 1,663$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.73 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 32c | 1,604$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.82 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked No | 24c | 1,552$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.24 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cf…75d1backed Yes | 70c | 1,518$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b24…5b1fbacked Yes | 67c | 1,495$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.79 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd46c…f641backed No | 29c | 1,470$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.51 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 20c | 1,333$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.85 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 67c | 1,138$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.69 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…bc3dbacked No | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ba…408fbacked Yes | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Yes | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02e4…7793backed No | 24c | 970$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f5…b6e9backed No | 27c | 970$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked Yes | 57c | 958.56$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.52 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 24c | 902.77$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.44 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…3fe8backed Yes | 64c | 887.19$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3396…458dbacked Yes | 67c | 850$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…e483backed Yes | 57c | 800$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…b09ebacked No | 25c | 777.39$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.29 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed No | 19c | 761$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.15 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8f…b5d6backed Yes | 69c | 757.68$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 37c | 699.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.5 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7a…7625backed Yes | 78c | 639.37$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 38c | 631.14$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.73 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b8…4d0bbacked No | 28c | 540$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad6…9963backed Yes | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2f…6c82backed Yes | 73c | 485$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…0571backed No | 24c | 475$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.85 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 35c | 459.82$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.73 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7492…4cbbbacked No | 28c | 455$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03d0…9424backed No | 29c | 455$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccc1…b2b3backed No | 36c | 447.22$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked No | 35c | 447.01$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.42 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc173…b6e5backed No | 22c | 434.09$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd2…2518backed Yes | 73c | 424.97$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…c966backed Yes | 65c | 388.17$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x725b…576dbacked Yes | 78c | 384.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.7 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4406…4b19backed No | 25c | 379.15$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.3 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed No | 27c | 362.92$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.61 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbba4…f8c6backed No | 6c | 352$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb38a…8237backed Yes | 73c | 340.32$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…5b14backed No | 19c | 325$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd470…783ebacked No | 36c | 323.26$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe03d…189abacked Yes | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865c…ad2abacked Yes | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…4275backed Yes | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb533…70debacked Yes | 67c | 297.68$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…d839backed Yes | 67c | 290$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.1 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8d…5232backed Yes | 69c | 289$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.27 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbe…9945backed Yes | 72c | 285$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84e7…9acdbacked Yes | 73c | 270$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbc…9dafbacked Yes | 72c | 270$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 34c | 262.95$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.91 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…5b56backed Yes | 72c | 255$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbe…088dbacked Yes | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98cc…5fd4backed Yes | 65c | 250$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed No | 18c | 249.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe98…0befbacked Yes | 67c | 238.81$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5b…23cabacked Yes | 63c | 233.4$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.12 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21a5…5aacbacked Yes | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed No | 34c | 212.76$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.27 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6447…69b7backed Yes | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5b…b598backed No | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe82…5c81backed No | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +76%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc814…dc7cbacked No | 34c | 197.09$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.01 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 34c | 191.3$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.2 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked No | 24c | 185$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 31c | 171.76$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf385…4864backed Yes | 75c | 166.18$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.14 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b7…eb22backed Yes | 73c | 160$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.85 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c61…ac8bbacked No | 24c | 160$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d9…9695backed No | 38c | 157$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.59 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b13…850bbacked Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd918…2538backed Yes | 66c | 150.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed No | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0313…67dbbacked Yes | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +107.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 24c | 149.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc15c…da7abacked Yes | 77c | 145.06$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fac…c572backed Yes | 67c | 141$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd76…6c23backed Yes | 68c | 140$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?this page
- Will Albania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
- Will Armenia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Australia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Austria finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
- Will Azerbaijan finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Belgium finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Croatia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Cyprus finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Czechia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Denmark finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Finland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will France finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
- Will Georgia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Germany finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Greece finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
- Will Iceland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Ireland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Israel finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
- Will Italy finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
- Will Latvia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Lithuania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Luxembourg finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Malta finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Montenegro finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Netherlands finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Norway finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Poland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Portugal finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will San Marino finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Serbia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Slovenia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Spain finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Sweden finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
- Will Switzerland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
- Will Ukraine finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
- Will United Kingdom finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.