NBA · resolved market
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21bc2df93206136a94c64aa564daf7db2a9b26e2ea4c2f8e84bb45add15d5f86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Knicks, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,652
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,047
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,652 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Spurs | 80c | 3,330$2,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.12 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Knicks | 27c | 2,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Knicks | 27c | 2,421$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.76 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 73c | 2,214$1,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.98 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Knicks | 23c | 1,650$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.48 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Knicks | 14c | 1,392$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.23 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a3…d944backed Knicks | 28c | 999.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Knicks | 13c | 887.85$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.32 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spurs | 76c | 769.85$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.44 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33b…2372backed Knicks | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Spurs | 56c | 400$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 455 | 44.8%204 W · 251 L | +21.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Knicks | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.26 | 131 | 61.8%81 W · 50 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Knicks | 10c | 355.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.32 | 189 | 41.8%79 W · 110 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Spurs | 75c | 350$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Knicks | 10c | 307.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 216 | 37.5%81 W · 135 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Knicks | 18c | 293.71$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.36 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +24.4wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…541ebacked Spurs | 73c | 285.79$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.16 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Knicks | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 94 | 38.3%36 W · 58 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f20…6a22backed Knicks | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Spurs | 73c | 175.84$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.48 | 186 | 53.2%99 W · 87 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf709…7697backed Knicks | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs | 73c | 131.72$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.91 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Knicks | 21c | 124$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 330 | 30.9%102 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Knicks | 11c | 116.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Spurs | 72c | 105$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…5abfbacked Spurs | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c3…1b0abacked Knicks | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Knicks | 24c | 87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…baafbacked Knicks | 26c | 78.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Knicks | 27c | 71.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Knicks | 26c | 67.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Knicks | 41c | 64.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +28.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Spurs | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Spurs | 54c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Spurs | 54c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 234 | 41.5%97 W · 137 L | +13.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Spurs | 73c | 53.84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 410 | 38%156 W · 254 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Knicks | 27c | 44.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Spurs | 74c | 44.09$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91df…fd49backed Spurs | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Knicks | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Spurs | 73c | 34.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Knicks | 34c | 33.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03c2…2034backed Spurs | 74c | 20.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Spurs | 77c | 18.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Spurs | 73c | 17.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 157 | 59.2%93 W · 64 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Spurs | 73c | 17.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 160 | 48.8%78 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Spurs | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 106. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Knicks won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Knicks vs. SpursKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 100.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 103.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 198.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 199.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 200.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 201.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 203.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 204.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 205.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 206.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 207.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 209.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 211.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 212.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 0.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 17.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 18.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.