TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Haiti finish last in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,494
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,850

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,494 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xda3a…381fbacked No18c6,105$1,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,117.6310833.3%36 W · 72 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed No21c4,298$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.8935033.7%118 W · 232 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdde…c019backed Yes79c3,872$3,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8141752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No21c3,082$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.222,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x014c…820cbacked No20c2,957$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.787126.8%19 W · 52 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-46.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7a…df1bbacked No2c2,055$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.65137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-48.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x557e…5007backed Yes79c2,053$1,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.7621755.3%120 W · 97 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb8d…85acbacked No9c1,985$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No21c1,544$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.1765651.7%339 W · 317 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No17c1,293$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.192,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8616…c877backed Yes80c1,251$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.07580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No2c1,200$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.26098.4%51 W · 558 L+0.2wins0.00per pick8cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No22c1,157$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.0721837.2%81 W · 137 L-0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32e4…beedbacked No15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-58.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53b4…cef0backed Yes80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2003161.3%19 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf524…8178backed No5c843.29$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.481266.3%8 W · 118 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-60.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes76c820.12$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.036965.2%45 W · 24 L+9.6wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+49.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe8f7…61cbbacked Yes78c769.23$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.23666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+25.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed No22c715.6$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.4618139.8%72 W · 109 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed No6c676$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7822834.6%79 W · 149 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked No19c653.49$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.1887837.2%327 W · 551 L-41.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2567…fc9dbacked Yes78c641.03$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.0312349.6%61 W · 62 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b20…8eafbacked Yes79c639.21$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.176254.8%34 W · 28 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid+12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No13c519.8$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.421,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Yes79c507.05$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.0516552.1%86 W · 79 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid0%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ab1…7df3backed Yes78c500$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1102462.5%15 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick71cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No18c477$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.4421958%127 W · 92 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+27.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1851…7016backed Yes76c454$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.964269%29 W · 13 L+7.5wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+27.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf6f6…0e74backed No15c448.45$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1812752%66 W · 61 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6406…bc04backed Yes79c423$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.1110966.1%72 W · 37 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked No23c400$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.26227.4%17 W · 45 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No15c394.55$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5928554.4%155 W · 130 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefdc…a595backed No21c373.78$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.883638.9%14 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No25c367.58$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.8679231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No7c366$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.887799.6%75 W · 704 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes76c330$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.211165.8%73 W · 38 L+15.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+26.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x68cc…78e0backed No7c318.26$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7521517.2%37 W · 178 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5084…7cf2backed Yes80c313.75$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.753070%21 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+20.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No18c300$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.32,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5555…823bbacked Yes79c282.34$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.295064%32 W · 18 L+6.1wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+45.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x936a…7a5abacked Yes79c275$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.751668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x27ab…e521backed No21c227.7$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.312150.4%61 W · 60 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed No20c219$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.526037.3%97 W · 163 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03e1…e180backed No17c219$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.296940.6%28 W · 41 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No23c215.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7364850.6%328 W · 320 L-13.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x721a…9295backed No5c203.47$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.116246.9%76 W · 86 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a91…0776backed No20c201.78$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.126541.5%27 W · 38 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x39a5…5abfbacked Yes76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cd5…f2cfbacked Yes76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed No8c170.07$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8212046.7%56 W · 64 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-25.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No9c170$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8548636.6%178 W · 308 L-48.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xb31b…b140backed No18c156.16$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3622243.7%97 W · 125 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Yes78c153.91$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9120841.3%86 W · 122 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No14c150$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.523750.6%120 W · 117 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcea8…1f9fbacked Yes77c150$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No21c138$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2317558.9%103 W · 72 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8ef…dddabacked Yes80c127.9$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.97945.6%36 W · 43 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcc3…a134backed Yes78c127.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.85450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-30.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked Yes79c126.6$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5914049.3%69 W · 71 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf47e…5031backed Yes79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.583450%17 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No19c125$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.552,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x5566…7c29backed No24c124$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.763961.5%24 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes79c122.45$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.718,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed No10c120$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.216646.4%77 W · 89 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6797…42fbbacked Yes77c116.15$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.152552%13 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bf5…6213backed Yes77c109.74$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.741877.8%14 W · 4 L+4.6wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+47.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8647…d870backed Yes79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216443.8%28 W · 36 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x94d8…37e6backed Yes78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225141.2%21 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x040d…1a5ebacked Yes77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2312432.3%40 W · 84 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad90…51d2backed No21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2113341.4%55 W · 78 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No13c96.88$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5980225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf4…cc11backed Yes79c93$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.932231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-32.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd717…3b85backed No24c87$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8836335.8%130 W · 233 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7e9…bdacbacked Yes78c81.5$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.534254.8%23 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x764b…6badbacked No17c80$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6314858.8%87 W · 61 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1075…19c1backed No21c80$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.88218.3%15 W · 67 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed No19c77.6$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7453448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x426f…e76bbacked No21c76$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.968043.8%35 W · 45 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fbc…186dbacked Yes76c70$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.81250%6 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x476c…ce52backed No21c69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6825443.7%111 W · 143 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a9a…72e7backed No22c65.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.514628.3%13 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-40.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0d6…7475backed No22c63.84$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3437644.9%169 W · 207 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe838…b694backed Yes78c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+35.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Yes79c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.522550.7%114 W · 111 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce77…86c4backed Yes76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2612…398fbacked No24c44.25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfdaf…7d88backed Yes77c43$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.892330.4%7 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick21cpaid-30%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Yes76c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.646743.3%202 W · 265 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06ff…70b7backed Yes79c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.62250%11 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8944…7b42backed Yes80c40$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7c5…4b7cbacked Yes77c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.21250%6 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+36.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb84…8bbdbacked Yes79c37.89$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.963438.2%13 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-38.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc16…aeb1backed Yes78c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaab6…fec1backed Yes77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.972642.3%11 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x66a0…b560backed Yes79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.32742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-40.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a0…8a8fbacked Yes79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.322548%12 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick62cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d27…6e05backed Yes80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed Yes77c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.623543%101 W · 134 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5df…3fdfbacked Yes78c19.23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.233100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb3b…c915backed Yes80c18.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.754100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+37%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.