La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69caa749623ae9549078e700aa056ca3ca098aaac1f737655d0cacda0cb81c29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RC Celta de Vigoof Real Madrid CF, RC Celta de Vigo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,924
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,924 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Real Madrid CF | 20c | 38,099$7,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,619.82 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Real Madrid CF | 19c | 10,527$1,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,973.53 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Real Madrid CF | 24c | 3,594$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.05 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked RC Celta de Vigo | 79c | 2,894$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.09 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Real Madrid CF | 21c | 2,493$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.33 | 265 | 50.9%135 W · 130 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Real Madrid CF | 20c | 2,099$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Real Madrid CF | 18c | 1,932$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.19 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7434…2ff4backed Real Madrid CF | 21c | 1,844$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 122 | 36.1%44 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Real Madrid CF | 22c | 1,600$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0737…ea60backed Real Madrid CF | 7c | 1,476$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Real Madrid CF | 19c | 1,454$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.17 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed RC Celta de Vigo | 66c | 1,300$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.08 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Real Madrid CF | 16c | 1,221$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.6 | 191 | 30.4%58 W · 133 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Real Madrid CF | 21c | 1,087$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.95 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 34cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed RC Celta de Vigo | 80c | 1,076$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.91 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880c…f5e2backed Real Madrid CF | 21c | 833.38$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Real Madrid CF | 22c | 727.27$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked RC Celta de Vigo | 80c | 666.98$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.18 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Real Madrid CF | 15c | 541.94$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.65 | 59 | 18.6%11 W · 48 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Real Madrid CF | 11c | 522$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.42 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked RC Celta de Vigo | 80c | 500$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed RC Celta de Vigo | 80c | 500$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed RC Celta de Vigo | 80c | 500$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2544…f319backed Real Madrid CF | 21c | 498.9$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.77 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x467d…6737backed Real Madrid CF | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7781…ec06backed Real Madrid CF | 20c | 424.31$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f4…78e7backed Real Madrid CF | 22c | 387.53$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked RC Celta de Vigo | 77c | 312.16$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.55 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed RC Celta de Vigo | 78c | 299.99$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Real Madrid CF | 20c | 275$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Real Madrid CF | 19c | 252.58$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed Real Madrid CF | 23c | 234.78$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 227 | 40.1%91 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ee…7e3abacked Real Madrid CF | 20c | 231.85$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.37 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c27…494bbacked Real Madrid CF | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f2…b21cbacked Real Madrid CF | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…185cbacked Real Madrid CF | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Real Madrid CF | 19c | 207.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 283 | 42.8%121 W · 162 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0db7…5c06backed Real Madrid CF | 19c | 184.21$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed Real Madrid CF | 28c | 166.45$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.67 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f51…7b9ebacked Real Madrid CF | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7881…5c15backed Real Madrid CF | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Real Madrid CF | 19c | 147.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b72…34b3backed Real Madrid CF | 11c | 118.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Real Madrid CF | 11c | 115.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…5abfbacked Real Madrid CF | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a0…3762backed Real Madrid CF | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1382…a266backed Real Madrid CF | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -27%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b6…1785backed RC Celta de Vigo | 80c | 103$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Real Madrid CF | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 174 | 55.2%96 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb30c…6cefbacked Real Madrid CF | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8142…f311backed Real Madrid CF | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x084d…7e47backed RC Celta de Vigo | 80c | 80.31$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed RC Celta de Vigo | 63c | 77.64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Real Madrid CF | 21c | 71.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…63febacked Real Madrid CF | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…30f5backed Real Madrid CF | 21c | 57.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Real Madrid CF | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed RC Celta de Vigo | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 119 | 62.2%74 W · 45 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x750d…566bbacked Real Madrid CF | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2894…d9d8backed Real Madrid CF | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +73%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Real Madrid CF | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked RC Celta de Vigo | 80c | 49.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed RC Celta de Vigo | 79c | 46.4$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63a5…1fbfbacked Real Madrid CF | 38c | 44.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Real Madrid CF | 37c | 40.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf13d…6b6ebacked Real Madrid CF | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed RC Celta de Vigo | 80c | 25.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)this page
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-2.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.