TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$78,633

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,633 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No43c8,756$3,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,744.994,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes55c6,548$3,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,918.7926550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No44c6,465$2,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,828.282,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No44c6,382$2,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,776.6450149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Yes64c5,267$3,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,918.0511839%46 W · 72 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked No43c5,028$2,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,162.043246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes57c4,169$2,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,80650449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No33c3,077$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,008.581,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked No43c1,596$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.343046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes71c1,300$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37749057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Yes57c1,200$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.996256.5%35 W · 27 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xef88…29a3backed Yes71c1,127$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.724676.1%35 W · 11 L+8.8wins+0.19per pick57cpaid+63.8%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x2cf0…df85backed Yes55c1,001$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.423250%16 W · 16 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+49.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcb31…3bf2backed Yes55c910$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.51957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x142e…f6e4backed Yes55c909.56$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.561553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05a2…468cbacked No39c800$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3122532%8 W · 17 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-33.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes58c775.86$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.8611457.9%66 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed No30c774.31$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.755918.6%11 W · 48 L-6.4wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-49.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Yes57c740.35$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.354445.5%20 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No36c718.87$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.481,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Yes55c710.29$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.633565.7%23 W · 12 L+4.7wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+29.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed No4c600$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24254%1 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick7cpaid-81%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes70c555.55$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.6713969.8%97 W · 42 L+30.1wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+68.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x9e38…f11abacked No27c529.8$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked No42c497.75$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.555650%28 W · 28 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked No47c452.77$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.43330.3%10 W · 23 L-6.7wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-41%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes58c416.71$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.5110820.4%22 W · 86 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-47.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Yes55c401$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.4511056.4%62 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No7c399.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2892254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9135…a63ebacked Yes54c389.99$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.491844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6420843.3%90 W · 118 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9054…d8a9backed Yes58c352.38$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked No43c330$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.93447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d3…8a20backed Yes71c324.95$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.812161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d4c…f7debacked Yes55c321.51$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.68771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick43cpaid+57.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x25e2…dc8fbacked Yes59c316$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.561154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes58c297.06$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.066962.3%43 W · 26 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eca…6a15backed No46c290.25$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92fb…09d0backed Yes55c265.45$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.45666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+59.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x621e…471fbacked Yes57c263.16$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.162466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf07c…9a72backed Yes56c243.13$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.973100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+90.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked Yes54c240.74$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.741353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a70…cba6backed Yes55c217.88$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.88837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes53c214.89$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1013262.5%20 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes55c209.13$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.3642851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa296…743dbacked Yes59c204.26$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.262045%9 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid+31.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x322f…65a5backed No47c203.09$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9540%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Yes55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked No44c199.98$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.9911636.2%42 W · 74 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba2b…0c59backed No46c188.89$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.31933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked No43c187.18$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.163339.4%13 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5903…bc30backed Yes59c186.44$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.442458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9e…10bebacked Yes54c184.64$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.649056.7%51 W · 39 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8211342.5%48 W · 65 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cdc…0ddebacked Yes55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.822100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5683…3ea1backed Yes55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.823360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes55c180$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8110343.7%45 W · 58 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd179…361ebacked Yes56c178.8$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.82972.4%21 W · 8 L+7.0wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+39.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xc88c…f67dbacked Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.411070%7 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4111149.5%55 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No41c169.49$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4922746.7%106 W · 121 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4926545.3%120 W · 145 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.494060%24 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6fa…546bbacked Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.494766%31 W · 16 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e0f…c18cbacked Yes57c166.89$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.762035%7 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No45c165.52$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4826853%142 W · 126 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked No43c165$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.954744.7%21 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed No44c156.13$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.711740.2%47 W · 70 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa596…ce69backed Yes55c141.69$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked No44c134.09$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592544%11 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes57c129.99$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.142158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3a80…49bfbacked Yes56c120$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.86457.8%37 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes80c113$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8319247.4%91 W · 101 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a1c…ec92backed No42c111.9$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes54c111$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0615851.3%81 W · 77 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked No47c106.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.041127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.28per pick56cpaid-54.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes58c103.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.457855.1%43 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4119237.5%72 W · 120 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Yes57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432544%11 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37fa…1136backed Yes58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424165.9%27 W · 14 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Yes55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4516342.3%69 W · 94 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4742458%246 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes54c99.97$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9911546.1%53 W · 62 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes59c98.07$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.776946.4%32 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70db…dba8backed Yes56c95.2$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.893040%12 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed Yes57c95.02$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.043046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e08…19cabacked Yes58c90$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.84271.4%30 W · 12 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+27.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4dd3…7c5dbacked Yes56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.291681.3%13 W · 3 L+4.0wins+0.25per pick56cpaid+44.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb26f…ebf7backed Yes59c89.24$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.59633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x721d…ffe1backed Yes55c88.56$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.85580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+40.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab08…37fabacked Yes57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.722642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Yes58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2110761.7%66 W · 41 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-10%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3602…c2d2backed Yes55c85.45$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.453100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+108%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a3d…2068backed Yes59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7513050.8%66 W · 64 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked No43c82.51$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.483354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked No43c82.51$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.484062.5%25 W · 15 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+31.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5fd9…3dadbacked Yes59c82.37$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Yes55c81.82$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8230842.9%132 W · 176 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No45c75.87$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1412925.6%33 W · 96 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes58c62.07$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.077440.5%30 W · 44 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.