TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$178,186

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,186 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8566…c626backed Over45c44,470$20,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,001.653557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under53c35,729$18,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,792.473100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under63c21,341$13,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,922.754,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Over28c19,841$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,5002524%6 W · 19 L-4.8wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-52.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under56c9,115$5,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,011.6169142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under72c5,012$3,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,42050149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over47c4,209$1,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,978.0564046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under73c4,000$2,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08015952.8%84 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Over28c2,841$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.7222753.3%121 W · 106 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Under75c2,750$2,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.54663%29 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-4.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over30c2,561$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.1711839%46 W · 72 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Over25c2,429$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.274141.5%17 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over19c2,176$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.1210820.4%22 W · 86 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-47.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under65c2,067$1,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.781,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Under62c2,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7602941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over41c1,300$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.9649057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Over21c1,104$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.564042.5%17 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+72%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe375…dadfbacked Under55c1,096$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.35450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over27c1,021$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.639748.5%47 W · 50 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Over28c979$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.741942.1%8 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+36.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over39c907.12$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.883939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2d1…84a2backed Over30c749.99$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2257644.7%34 W · 42 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over27c725.59$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.9119344.6%86 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2a31…016dbacked Under45c666.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.67450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Over19c600$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114254%1 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick7cpaid-81%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a0c…0beebacked Over34c592.31$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004942.9%21 W · 28 L+6.8wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+88.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1af3…fbe3backed Over26c575$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.51921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-58.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Over27c548.15$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1484334.9%15 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Over27c529.93$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.083565.7%23 W · 12 L+4.7wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+29.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Over26c525$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.55918.6%11 W · 48 L-6.4wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-49.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over41c487.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9416363.8%104 W · 59 L+32.3wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+66.9%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x993a…1e2fbacked Over41c486.59$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.52657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+20.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over3c463.83$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.929134.1%31 W · 60 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over18c408.03$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725343.4%23 W · 30 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+15.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under71c400$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11612954.3%70 W · 59 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over40c332.08$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.836445.3%29 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015451.3%79 W · 75 L+14.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Over26c300$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783743.2%16 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+24.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a2b…c97cbacked Over62c300$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1861942.1%8 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-21%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11431745.7%145 W · 172 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x73a0…610ebacked Under62c253.23$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.232100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under73c234.37$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.331,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Over27c231$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.2815851.3%81 W · 77 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Under48c220$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.46956.5%39 W · 30 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under74c218$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.682763%17 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick71cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x084e…71d6backed Over47c214.43$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-48.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ad…bce9backed Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016865.5%110 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5811120.7%23 W · 88 L-10.9wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-40.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1ff2…1c10backed Over40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over37c195.51$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.251,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506937.7%26 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7781…ec06backed Over28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Over39c150$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7310143.6%44 W · 57 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over40c145.7$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3659655.4%330 W · 266 L+31.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over34c145.4$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5049228.9%142 W · 350 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over43c135$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.996752.2%35 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3312755.1%70 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over27c125.88$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.312925.6%33 W · 96 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over31c116.32$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367855.1%43 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Over42c112.65$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.378550.6%43 W · 42 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Over27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011149.5%55 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fc0…8f18backed Over28c108$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.75560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+57.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509722.7%22 W · 75 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-29.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under58c106.26$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6430749.2%151 W · 156 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52ed…d799backed Over44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4430%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Under53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4721355.9%119 W · 94 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Over28c93.31$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.133339.4%13 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over27c92.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257647.4%36 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5631…bd3abacked Over55c87$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.857251.4%37 W · 35 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over30c85.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3412042.5%51 W · 69 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over30c85$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.526550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over26c83.45$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.790843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Over46c83.38$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.338155.6%45 W · 36 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Over60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506852.9%36 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under72c79.74$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9742851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Over37c78.47$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.787339.7%29 W · 44 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7700…2d07backed Over27c73.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over25c72$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1838748.1%186 W · 201 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f14…c845backed Under70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.432268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+25%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over43c70$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.12951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2135…9e8fbacked Over29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over27c68.78$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5734252%178 W · 164 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa695…c8a4backed Under80c68.75$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.751560%9 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b09…aca6backed Over31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over29c58.07$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8444424.1%107 W · 337 L-50.1wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-47.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xde42…e01bbacked Over27c55.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1540%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under73c54.01$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3912152.9%64 W · 57 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2512…9030backed Over31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ce8…63febacked Over36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185440.7%22 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c16…c36fbacked Over35c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.51020%2 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick22cpaid+11.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x053d…ad13backed Over47c49.89$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac5f…eb06backed Over42c47.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under62c46$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.488938.2%34 W · 55 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under72c43.3$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1211855.9%66 W · 52 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over27c39.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.889050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over27c37.68$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.171,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x409a…df2fbacked Under56c35.89$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.894463.6%28 W · 16 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x15ee…5792backed Under46c35.78$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd31a…e653backed Under57c35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.