La Liga · resolved market
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4be9e1cd85df3169c3556f844b118d9b825746c75334de711cf61afe0c8e319
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $178,186
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,186 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8566…c626backed Over | 45c | 44,470$20,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,001.65 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 53c | 35,729$18,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,792.47 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 21,341$13,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,922.75 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…9312backed Over | 28c | 19,841$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 56c | 9,115$5,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,011.61 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 72c | 5,012$3,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 47c | 4,209$1,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978.05 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 73c | 4,000$2,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Over | 28c | 2,841$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.72 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Under | 75c | 2,750$2,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.5 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 30c | 2,561$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.17 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Over | 25c | 2,429$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.27 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 19c | 2,176$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.12 | 108 | 20.4%22 W · 86 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 65c | 2,067$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.78 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Under | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 41c | 1,300$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.96 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Over | 21c | 1,104$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.56 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +72%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe375…dadfbacked Under | 55c | 1,096$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 27c | 1,021$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.63 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Over | 28c | 979$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.74 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 39c | 907.12$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.8 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d1…84a2backed Over | 30c | 749.99$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 27c | 725.59$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.91 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…016dbacked Under | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Over | 19c | 600$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -81%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…0beebacked Over | 34c | 592.31$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…fbe3backed Over | 26c | 575$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.5 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Over | 27c | 548.15$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Over | 27c | 529.93$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.08 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Over | 26c | 525$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 59 | 18.6%11 W · 48 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 41c | 487.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.94 | 163 | 63.8%104 W · 59 L | +32.3wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 41c | 486.59$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 3c | 463.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 18c | 408.03$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 71c | 400$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 40c | 332.08$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.83 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Over | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…c97cbacked Over | 62c | 300$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a0…610ebacked Under | 62c | 253.23$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 73c | 234.37$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Over | 27c | 231$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.28 | 158 | 51.3%81 W · 77 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 48c | 220$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.4 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under | 74c | 218$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.68 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x084e…71d6backed Over | 47c | 214.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…bce9backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 111 | 20.7%23 W · 88 L | -10.9wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…1c10backed Over | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 37c | 195.51$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.25 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7781…ec06backed Over | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Over | 39c | 150$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.73 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 40c | 145.7$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.36 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 34c | 145.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 43c | 135$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 27c | 125.88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 129 | 25.6%33 W · 96 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 31c | 116.32$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Over | 42c | 112.65$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.37 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Over | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Over | 28c | 108$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 97 | 22.7%22 W · 75 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 58c | 106.26$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.64 | 307 | 49.2%151 W · 156 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…d799backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 213 | 55.9%119 W · 94 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Over | 28c | 93.31$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5631…bd3abacked Over | 55c | 87$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 30c | 85.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 30c | 85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 265 | 50.9%135 W · 130 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 26c | 83.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Over | 46c | 83.38$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.33 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 72c | 79.74$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Over | 37c | 78.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7700…2d07backed Over | 27c | 73.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 25c | 72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…c845backed Under | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2135…9e8fbacked Over | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 27c | 68.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa695…c8a4backed Under | 80c | 68.75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…aca6backed Over | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 29c | 58.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 444 | 24.1%107 W · 337 L | -50.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xde42…e01bbacked Over | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 73c | 54.01$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2512…9030backed Over | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…63febacked Over | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…c36fbacked Over | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x053d…ad13backed Over | 47c | 49.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac5f…eb06backed Over | 42c | 47.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 62c | 46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 72c | 43.3$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 27c | 39.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 27c | 37.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x409a…df2fbacked Under | 56c | 35.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…5792backed Under | 46c | 35.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…e653backed Under | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5this page
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-2.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.