La Liga · resolved market
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x270855b7714baee219a43cbfaf8e8e861b4e71fc72ce2ae5ad52c3fac7a52a43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $593,217
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $593,217 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 373 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 50c | 194,200$96,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97,374.7 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 60,786$30,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,271.98 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 50c | 59,289$29,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,644.5 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 57,773$26,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,700.62 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed Over | 47c | 50,000$23,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,499.79 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 50c | 27,688$13,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,843.98 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Over | 50c | 25,000$12,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,500 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Under | 52c | 22,817$11,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,867.05 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4270…e461backed Under | 53c | 15,084$7,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,994.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9146…5321backed Under | 50c | 14,910$7,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,455 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 52c | 11,828$6,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,150 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 52c | 11,403$5,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,908 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Over | 49c | 10,399$5,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,303.47 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Under | 51c | 9,345$4,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,789.3 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,160 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Over | 44c | 7,275$3,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,041.68 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 50c | 7,256$3,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,652.7 | 265 | 50.9%135 W · 130 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 1c | 7,028$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.8 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…b299backed Under | 53c | 5,900$3,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,125 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf617…80c9backed Under | 53c | 5,849$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under | 53c | 4,609$2,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,442.67 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 50c | 4,583$2,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,291.45 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Over | 50c | 4,100$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Over | 26c | 4,000$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,962.4 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.96 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 45c | 3,844$1,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,723.81 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x934e…e7c0backed Under | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38b0…060cbacked Under | 51c | 3,744$1,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,909.35 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 50c | 3,698$1,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,841.54 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36c8…53a9backed Under | 30c | 3,328$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2999…277dbacked Over | 48c | 3,126$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 219 | 57.5%126 W · 93 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Under | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 51c | 2,822$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.84 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 51c | 2,765$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd068…18f9backed Over | 65c | 2,612$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.92 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 61c | 2,529$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.24 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 42c | 2,203$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.09 | 1,418 | 45.6%646 W · 772 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcb…8709backed Over | 48c | 2,158$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.33 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…f6dcbacked Over | 51c | 2,030$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.9 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 48c | 1,977$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.46 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Over | 50c | 1,909$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.48 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Under | 36c | 1,695$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.94 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Under | 56c | 1,635$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.08 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Under | 52c | 1,598$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.99 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Under | 21c | 1,432$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.62 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Under | 53c | 1,394$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Over | 73c | 1,341$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.24 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 70c | 1,300$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.87 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 58c | 1,240$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed Over | 72c | 1,104$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.72 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +8.8wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Under | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 48c | 1,098$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.96 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Over | 54c | 1,074$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.23 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…8fd8backed Over | 48c | 1,041$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.26 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Under | 24c | 1,036$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.72 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +72%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.05 | 111 | 20.7%23 W · 88 L | -10.9wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 46c | 975.81$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.71 | 1,651 | 43.9%724 W · 927 L | -21.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Over | 48c | 965.29$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.95 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 77c | 947.41$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.82 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…54cbbacked Over | 70c | 943.89$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.17 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 52c | 924.37$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.67 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Over | 48c | 899.99$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.99 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 56c | 850$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.09 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 52c | 802.06$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.01 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Under | 14c | 799.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -81%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf4…997abacked Under | 53c | 743.28$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 43c | 697.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.13 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -7.0wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -34%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Under | 47c | 638.31$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 48c | 629.1$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.1 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Over | 72c | 619.99$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.1 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 41c | 614.17$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.17 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 95 | 64.2%61 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…0beebacked Over | 33c | 608.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.33 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked Over | 50c | 604.04$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.02 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Over | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 51c | 600$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309 | 197 | 50.3%99 W · 98 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Over | 51c | 599.99$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 52c | 599.99$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.99 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fef…5840backed Over | 50c | 597.78$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.89 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…5793backed Over | 79c | 570$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.7 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Over | 13c | 555.55$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.33 | 139 | 69.8%97 W · 42 L | +30.1wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 57c | 551.16$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…fbe3backed Over | 48c | 525$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed Under | 15c | 516$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 16cpaid | +389.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 49c | 510.23$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.23 | 174 | 58.6%102 W · 72 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Over | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +450.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x368c…9f72backed Over | 50c | 499.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 51c | 479.98$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.19 | 181 | 52.5%95 W · 86 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 52c | 469.99$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.3 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe375…dadfbacked Under | 54c | 463.4$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Under | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 67c | 446.82$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.45 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5this page
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-2.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.