La Liga · resolved market
Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x609ead90acf7d349db2f90bdeae8d4e891cb06af52077993ebf6ceef178acffa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Real Madrid CFof RC Celta de Vigo, Real Madrid CF
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,105
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,105 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb6e8…bfbbbacked RC Celta de Vigo | 13c | 4,942$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed RC Celta de Vigo | 0c | 3,933$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked RC Celta de Vigo | 11c | 1,542$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.54 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed RC Celta de Vigo | 9c | 830.74$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed RC Celta de Vigo | 2c | 678.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -81%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7781…ec06backed RC Celta de Vigo | 7c | 438.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…6f4dbacked RC Celta de Vigo | 14c | 319$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed RC Celta de Vigo | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 111 | 20.7%23 W · 88 L | -10.9wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed RC Celta de Vigo | 14c | 163.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked RC Celta de Vigo | 12c | 99.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa70c…08d3backed RC Celta de Vigo | 14c | 94.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed RC Celta de Vigo | 13c | 77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)this page
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-2.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.