TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 204.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,870
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,657

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,870 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under24c4,570$1,097 inLost-$1,096.81,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over76c3,096$2,353 inWon+$742.9325352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe49a…ff17backed Over76c1,316$1,000 inWon+$315.791861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+37.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under29c984.13$285 inLost-$285.41,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over73c682.58$496 inWon+$186.71,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over75c516.29$390 inWon+$126.598,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked Under23c454.83$105 inLost-$104.6147354.8%259 W · 214 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26de…6299backed Under25c360$90 inLost-$903622.2%8 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-2.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb502…9d8bbacked Over77c323.04$250 inWon+$73.0430055.7%167 W · 133 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3c2…5509backed Under23c311.57$72 inLost-$71.6618444.6%82 W · 102 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over76c265.38$202 inWon+$63.6964948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under24c240$58 inLost-$57.625954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xcf5e…95e3backed Under31c233.42$72 inLost-$72.3621046.2%97 W · 113 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under22c198$43 inLost-$43.161,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c9b…7349backed Over71c140.85$100 inWon+$40.8521574.4%160 W · 55 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39a5…5abfbacked Over76c131.58$100 inWon+$31.582462.5%15 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7275…8b45backed Over76c131.58$100 inWon+$31.584245.2%19 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-21.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over76c106.65$81 inWon+$25.751,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Under26c96.15$25 inLost-$2511239.3%44 W · 68 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under24c80.83$20 inLost-$19.624,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Under26c76.92$20 inLost-$2018853.2%100 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over76c64.36$49 inWon+$15.331,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e2f…6884backed Over79c62.03$49 inWon+$13.031942.1%8 W · 11 L-4.9wins-0.26per pick68cpaid-40%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under21c62.03$13 inLost-$13.031,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec1e…4369backed Over77c55.84$43 inWon+$12.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over74c50$37 inWon+$1310757%61 W · 46 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2413…4216backed Over80c50$40 inWon+$101442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-32.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under28c50$14 inLost-$1445445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over74c49.19$36 inWon+$12.7952150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb922…1d3ebacked Over77c42.86$33 inWon+$9.861070%7 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over76c41.87$32 inWon+$10.0541556.9%236 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over69c36.42$25 inWon+$11.2942842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48f…2327backed Over76c30$23 inWon+$7.25750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Over76c30$23 inWon+$7.226755.1%147 W · 120 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7e0…c1bbbacked Over76c25$19 inWon+$6650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29d8…e1b3backed Over74c24.32$18 inWon+$6.3210548.6%51 W · 54 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3dc0…af22backed Over75c24$18 inWon+$6475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.