La Liga · resolved market
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf86cb37f280b866d23225b1ff951ca3ab2e68fb2999e123d478f1e632883af7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,401
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,427
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,401 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Over | 38c | 4,526$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 4,069$2,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.35 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 37c | 1,075$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 440 | 39.3%173 W · 267 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 65c | 862.75$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.5 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 53c | 566.01$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 62c | 492.09$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.04 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 67c | 407.88$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.24 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe891…4b25backed Under | 60c | 393.64$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.85 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 62c | 375.98$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.87 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 63c | 339.82$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.43 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Over | 41c | 307.58$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.37 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 34c | 300$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.75 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 32c | 299.46$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.1 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 67c | 298.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.9 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 61c | 287.59$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 335 | 44.2%148 W · 187 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 64c | 269.85$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.18 | 326 | 45.4%148 W · 178 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Over | 33c | 267$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.11 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Under | 64c | 260$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…5abfbacked Under | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 66c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Under | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 36c | 139.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.09 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Under | 70c | 122.81$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.84 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed Over | 37c | 115$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.55 | 86 | 72.1%62 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 63c | 111.19$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.32 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 35c | 109.88$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…79bdbacked Under | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf474…2775backed Under | 66c | 84.72$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 62c | 83$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.54 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…92b5backed Under | 61c | 81.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 34c | 80.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 62c | 80.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.41 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Under | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 34c | 78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd424…bf7bbacked Over | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 39c | 70.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 65c | 68.61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 37c | 68.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 62c | 61.01$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.89 | 331 | 61.3%203 W · 128 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 68c | 55.96$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 45c | 55.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 163 | 63.8%104 W · 59 L | +32.3wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 36c | 55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Under | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 23c | 53.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 402 | 39.1%157 W · 245 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 63c | 47.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 454 | 50%227 W · 227 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 64c | 47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Over | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf255…3561backed Under | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Under | 67c | 38.61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 63c | 38.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 227 | 60.4%137 W · 90 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 73c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 261 | 54.4%142 W · 119 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Under | 65c | 26.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Girona FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)Girona FC won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)Girona FC won
- Spread: Girona FC (-1.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.