La Liga · resolved market
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33457a7c1f955b806810d8ea029bafa9b1f73affd86449486f8046a92e4a7430
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,175
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,192
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,175 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 13c | 3,867$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,366.73 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 70c | 3,321$2,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,337.77 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 44c | 2,265$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.25 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 73c | 2,097$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.96 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 29c | 1,446$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.49 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 57c | 1,247$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.03 | 232 | 32.8%76 W · 156 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 21c | 803.84$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.3 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Under | 6c | 644.74$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.67 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0020…e241backed Over | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d95…fe91backed Under | 53c | 466.88$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5634…d81abacked Under | 51c | 415.92$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.8 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed Over | 77c | 350$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.5 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over | 77c | 326.09$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.83 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +29%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Over | 77c | 300$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Over | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…f183backed Over | 70c | 250$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Over | 42c | 249$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.16 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 7c | 213.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.01 | 335 | 44.2%148 W · 187 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Under | 44c | 181.82$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.82 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 46cpaid | +91.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 22c | 163.98$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.91 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 74c | 146.94$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.06 | 402 | 39.1%157 W · 245 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba84…26efbacked Over | 76c | 139.58$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 18c | 121.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 20c | 108.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.25 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x218d…83f8backed Under | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.14 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 20c | 86.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 454 | 50%227 W · 227 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df6…c33bbacked Over | 64c | 85.08$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 61c | 81.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 192 | 58.9%113 W · 79 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed Over | 22c | 74.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 20c | 74.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.62 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9883…1d31backed Under | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +126.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 79c | 71.43$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.43 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd53c…5194backed Over | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 80c | 68.41$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.73 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 80c | 58.94$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Over | 52c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 56c | 52.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 80c | 44.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.41 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 35c | 38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 163 | 48.5%79 W · 84 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94ab…83f5backed Over | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 77.1%37 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Over | 41c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 79c | 31.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbc…3122backed Under | 66c | 30.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d13…b939backed Over | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 71.7%38 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 57c | 19.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 198 | 65.2%129 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5617…a1f2backed Over | 74c | 17.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Over | 80c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Girona FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)Girona FC won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)Girona FC won
- Spread: Girona FC (-1.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.