TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,287
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$92,879

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,287 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Over56c12,087$6,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,720.3510450%52 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Under22c4,765$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,698.3760147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over53c3,976$2,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,090.343,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over39c3,864$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.7356439.2%221 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under45c3,017$1,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,648.48351.8%43 W · 40 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under73c2,723$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.356858.8%40 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under42c2,300$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3456756.7%38 W · 29 L+9.8wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+36.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under60c2,119$1,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.0282844.8%371 W · 457 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under40c1,989$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200.924,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Over78c1,474$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.556170.5%43 W · 18 L+9.9wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+27.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over78c1,474$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.649466%62 W · 32 L+11.2wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+24%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over78c1,474$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.556563.1%41 W · 24 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over78c1,474$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.556764.2%43 W · 24 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under43c1,342$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.371,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over60c1,333$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8006550.8%33 W · 32 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Under43c1,184$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.876360.3%38 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3234…8b1abacked Under64c1,095$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.014141.5%17 W · 24 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Under43c1,062$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.331172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+59.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under43c1,011$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.251478.6%11 W · 3 L+4.3wins+0.31per pick48cpaid+62.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x87fe…3cbebacked Under44c1,001$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56017759.3%105 W · 72 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed Under45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbdcd…0fe6backed Under45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick37cpaid+42.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5006…48cabacked Under44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5601100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb56…c1bcbacked Under45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+40.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6464…99adbacked Under45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5502100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+111.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under43c919.98$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.395757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over60c906.76$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.4722246.8%104 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over12c801.22$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4621831.7%69 W · 149 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over77c710.83$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.9149057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Over58c655.49$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.6310068%68 W · 32 L+13.4wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+30%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1f4f…6dddbacked Over50c654$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3273545.7%16 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under45c614.92$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.217358.9%43 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5634…d81abacked Under49c585$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.53444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under38c560.31$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.233244%146 W · 186 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a16…9d73backed Under44c533.48$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.754852.1%25 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under45c521.56$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.498833.4%330 W · 658 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a0…fb89backed Under78c512.82$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.82250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Under44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2801662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+51.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9011819.5%23 W · 95 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Over60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8953…9b78backed Under46c499.93$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.961566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+53.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Under44c490.26$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.5813347.4%63 W · 70 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over58c486.51$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.982,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under44c462$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.721942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under66c454.55$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.5513051.5%67 W · 63 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e7d…fa81backed Under23c434.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.781776.5%13 W · 4 L+5.7wins+0.33per pick43cpaid+89.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Over55c400$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2186256.5%35 W · 27 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over58c378.79$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.4840357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Under44c340.91$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.917750.6%39 W · 38 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Over60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011857.6%68 W · 50 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under42c304.48$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.6845250.2%227 W · 225 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under43c304.26$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.4310257.8%59 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed Under44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1683333.3%11 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x218d…83f8backed Under41c293.41$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.412055%11 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+33.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under40c289.54$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.668050.4%343 W · 337 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over70c286.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003366.7%22 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba84…26efbacked Over72c277.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-42.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8356…d6cbbacked Under79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Under41c252.55$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1497560%45 W · 30 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Under44c251.32$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.7410843.5%47 W · 61 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under43c251$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.071,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over58c246.82$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.211,65143.9%724 W · 927 L-21.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under42c230$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.42544%11 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32f7…f399backed Over50c225.53$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.492334.8%8 W · 15 L-5.2wins-0.22per pick57cpaid-40.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed Over57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1143345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf09b…2101backed Over60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-40.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Over78c192.64$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.627265.3%47 W · 25 L+7.1wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+34%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under43c187.6$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.3820050.5%101 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over56c177.44$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.3748251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over57c174.5$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4716363.8%104 W · 59 L+32.3wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+66.9%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x5c76…862dbacked Under44c170.45$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.454454.5%24 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over58c169.78$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.473342.4%14 W · 19 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under40c167.42$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.3869350.9%353 W · 340 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2d32…fe22backed Under78c147.53$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.46633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0c3…dde1backed Over56c142.18$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf22b…8f84backed Under78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.212576%19 W · 6 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick60cpaid+16.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x46b1…3170backed Over60c125$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+40.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over41c121.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4239338.9%153 W · 240 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under52c120.29$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.0192345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over54c119.99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.791478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+29%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under44c113$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.281,55951.6%804 W · 755 L-9.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb15c…604abacked Under46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.71050%5 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over58c108.69$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0492254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e46…5737backed Under78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226657.6%38 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5710752.3%56 W · 51 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under40c96.67$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5832545.2%147 W · 178 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fd…3914backed Over42c95.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Over64c94.26$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.986163.9%39 W · 22 L+6.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+16%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under40c83.14$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.1975051.3%385 W · 365 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Under43c80$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.69163.7%58 W · 33 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over53c75$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010554.3%57 W · 48 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ad5…b130backed Over58c72.41$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-44.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over50c70$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3542158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under44c67.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.833161.3%203 W · 128 L+12.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over57c65.96$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2817562.9%110 W · 65 L+32.1wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+64.6%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over58c61.09$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2220253.5%108 W · 94 L-0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49fa…6eebbacked Under42c60.24$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.94742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Under55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Under43c59.64$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.989054.4%49 W · 41 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.