CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Bebop (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd43f4556c70080b86ae97f9c63748880f7a1f255df46c50d5631fa8c76dab00f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lavkedof Lavked, Bebop
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,001
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Lavked | 59c | 5,805$3,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,362.19 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Lavked | 58c | 2,696$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.72 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Bebop | 42c | 2,174$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.03 | 183 | 41%75 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Bebop | 42c | 1,792$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.65 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…8f3fbacked Bebop | 41c | 1,534$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.05 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Bebop | 10c | 1,236$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.21 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Bebop | 41c | 1,198$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.56 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Bebop | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 124 | 26.6%33 W · 91 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Bebop | 43c | 692.64$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.05 | 330 | 44.5%147 W · 183 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Bebop | 10c | 648.56$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.27 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecb…52a5backed Bebop | 7c | 565.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Lavked | 56c | 521.57$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.49 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Bebop | 42c | 482.6$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.69 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Lavked | 59c | 430$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.3 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Lavked | 62c | 418.35$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.88 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a6…bb90backed Bebop | 7c | 342.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Bebop | 37c | 283.36$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.84 | 392 | 45.9%180 W · 212 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Bebop | 16c | 274.04$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.82 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Bebop | 18c | 271.32$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd9…ea45backed Bebop | 40c | 249.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…a5c9backed Bebop | 44c | 249.36$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.72 | 231 | 46.3%107 W · 124 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33f0…b7aebacked Lavked | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c94…5b86backed Bebop | 42c | 193.04$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.08 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18e8…0f39backed Bebop | 42c | 193.04$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Lavked | 57c | 174.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.86 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Lavked | 56c | 151.18$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.52 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…865fbacked Lavked | 60c | 122$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 277 | 54.9%152 W · 125 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Bebop | 11c | 115.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Bebop | 39c | 113.58$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.74 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa7…e3d9backed Lavked | 60c | 108.37$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Bebop | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 328 | 45.1%148 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Lavked | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 402 | 47.8%192 W · 210 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…cb28backed Lavked | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Bebop | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Lavked | 60c | 99.01$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Bebop | 40c | 98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 206 | 46.6%96 W · 110 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bebop | 21c | 97.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Bebop | 31c | 89.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Bebop | 41c | 84.7$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.73 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | -20.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Bebop | 24c | 80.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Bebop | 43c | 63.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Bebop | 28c | 54.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 270 | 15.2%41 W · 229 L | -41.9wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Lavked | 59c | 49.75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x623a…5144backed Bebop | 42c | 45.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…251cbacked Lavked | 55c | 42.74$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4792…8870backed Bebop | 40c | 42.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Bebop | 43c | 40.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed Lavked | 59c | 39.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Lavked | 56c | 38.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 159 | 65.4%104 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff05…18bbbacked Lavked | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70e0…6821backed Bebop | 42c | 34.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945d…77aabacked Lavked | 59c | 33.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Lavked | 59c | 33.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 336 | 57.1%192 W · 144 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca9…0898backed Lavked | 59c | 32.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a84…af78backed Bebop | 40c | 30.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Lavked | 57c | 29.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 370 | 50.5%187 W · 183 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed Lavked | 59c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…ae72backed Bebop | 46c | 27.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2282backed Lavked | 70c | 25.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Bebop | 43c | 25.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc7…9194backed Lavked | 54c | 24.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…3bb0backed Lavked | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 557 | 49.7%277 W · 280 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Lavked | 60c | 19.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Bebop (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Bebop - Map 1 WinnerLavked won
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Bebop - Map 2 WinnerLavked won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.