Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Ilbirs eSports (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b195587b15abb9fe5a6a551dc522afee2e4e88942dfcc69ce43ca7c9eee16b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ilbirs eSportsof Yellow Submarine, Ilbirs eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $143,680
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $155,122
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,680 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 230 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb94…243cbacked Yellow Submarine | 47c | 10,266$4,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,837.38 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 42cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…7e44backed Yellow Submarine | 75c | 7,118$5,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,353 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Ilbirs eSports | 50c | 6,480$3,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,258.82 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Ilbirs eSports | 46c | 4,822$2,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,583.95 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ilbirs eSports | 32c | 4,597$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,133.95 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Ilbirs eSports | 24c | 3,925$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,967.67 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Ilbirs eSports | 51c | 3,377$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,641.16 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed Yellow Submarine | 45c | 3,200$1,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.18 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked Ilbirs eSports | 60c | 2,852$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.74 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ilbirs eSports | 49c | 2,746$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.23 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Ilbirs eSports | 44c | 2,071$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.83 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Ilbirs eSports | 45c | 1,923$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.72 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Ilbirs eSports | 38c | 1,755$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.05 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd08…2c93backed Yellow Submarine | 59c | 1,654$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.88 | 167 | 52.7%88 W · 79 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Yellow Submarine | 60c | 1,633$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.1 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…a576backed Yellow Submarine | 76c | 1,346$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.65 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…adffbacked Ilbirs eSports | 37c | 1,306$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.12 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Yellow Submarine | 53c | 1,289$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.17 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Ilbirs eSports | 28c | 1,278$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.98 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Yellow Submarine | 53c | 1,265$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.12 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Yellow Submarine | 63c | 1,166$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.13 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Ilbirs eSports | 62c | 1,036$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.48 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Ilbirs eSports | 25c | 1,005$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.06 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5051…82a6backed Ilbirs eSports | 31c | 951.13$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.02 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yellow Submarine | 62c | 936.68$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.85 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x568e…6980backed Yellow Submarine | 62c | 788.06$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.6 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 42cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Ilbirs eSports | 56c | 769.62$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.91 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Ilbirs eSports | 29c | 765.55$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.08 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yellow Submarine | 66c | 738.19$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.91 | 204 | 57.8%118 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eae…d46dbacked Yellow Submarine | 41c | 710.16$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.62 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Ilbirs eSports | 41c | 704.9$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.25 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed Yellow Submarine | 78c | 700$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546 | 348 | 60.1%209 W · 139 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Ilbirs eSports | 34c | 692.19$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.92 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Ilbirs eSports | 22c | 667.24$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.45 | 138 | 54.3%75 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x984b…88fbbacked Ilbirs eSports | 69c | 644.53$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.8 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…ea40backed Ilbirs eSports | 55c | 639.14$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.12 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Ilbirs eSports | 31c | 621.56$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.63 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4f…6407backed Yellow Submarine | 3c | 614.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Yellow Submarine | 53c | 598.77$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.22 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf7…6d62backed Yellow Submarine | 56c | 598.04$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.9 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…9ccfbacked Yellow Submarine | 56c | 590.93$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.6 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Yellow Submarine | 42c | 572.14$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.04 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x826c…cd27backed Yellow Submarine | 34c | 572.1$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.86 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…5d92backed Yellow Submarine | 74c | 557.42$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.49 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d9…c649backed Yellow Submarine | 59c | 554.52$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x597d…b97dbacked Yellow Submarine | 31c | 533.67$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.63 | 207 | 38.6%80 W · 127 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yellow Submarine | 49c | 530.27$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.61 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed Yellow Submarine | 66c | 530.04$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.93 | 148 | 54.7%81 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Ilbirs eSports | 54c | 516.52$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.22 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Ilbirs eSports | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yellow Submarine | 53c | 456.96$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.03 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…d12fbacked Yellow Submarine | 66c | 446.91$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.83 | 280 | 62.9%176 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x928a…4c34backed Yellow Submarine | 47c | 445.27$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Yellow Submarine | 35c | 396.78$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.16 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Ilbirs eSports | 49c | 392.68$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.89 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed Ilbirs eSports | 37c | 388.88$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.83 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Ilbirs eSports | 44c | 385.87$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.05 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked Yellow Submarine | 53c | 369.43$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.31 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Ilbirs eSports | 54c | 365.75$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.53 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Yellow Submarine | 10c | 364.97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Ilbirs eSports | 14c | 340.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.1 | 256 | 39.5%101 W · 155 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d18…0465backed Yellow Submarine | 55c | 337.9$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.29 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…0c2abacked Ilbirs eSports | 34c | 337.28$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.55 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b86…dd8fbacked Yellow Submarine | 78c | 325.15$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.46 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Yellow Submarine | 70c | 321.78$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.38 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Ilbirs eSports | 23c | 316.12$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.41 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Yellow Submarine | 73c | 315.6$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.17 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Yellow Submarine | 74c | 311.07$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.19 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed Ilbirs eSports | 38c | 304.04$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.51 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Ilbirs eSports | 54c | 300$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.32 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Ilbirs eSports | 46c | 299.97$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.58 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7a…6c9abacked Yellow Submarine | 17c | 296.9$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.87 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Ilbirs eSports | 42c | 296.03$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.7 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked Yellow Submarine | 75c | 295.5$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.63 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c7…620cbacked Ilbirs eSports | 37c | 285.26$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.32 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1501…a163backed Yellow Submarine | 60c | 284.23$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.54 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Yellow Submarine | 36c | 272.39$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.43 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Yellow Submarine | 56c | 271.45$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.27 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yellow Submarine | 74c | 269.56$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.64 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked Yellow Submarine | 74c | 268.79$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.88 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Ilbirs eSports | 46c | 268.7$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.16 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Ilbirs eSports | 26c | 268.58$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.83 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Yellow Submarine | 43c | 243.46$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d6…b7b5backed Yellow Submarine | 67c | 240.88$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.39 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Ilbirs eSports | 42c | 236.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.19 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b0…ab95backed Yellow Submarine | 43c | 235.27$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.78 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Yellow Submarine | 34c | 235.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.94 | 340 | 45.9%156 W · 184 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Ilbirs eSports | 34c | 231.18$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.51 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Yellow Submarine | 77c | 229.78$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.93 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…ced8backed Yellow Submarine | 73c | 226.21$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe9…4a83backed Ilbirs eSports | 47c | 209.15$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.87 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Yellow Submarine | 12c | 204.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb3…16e7backed Yellow Submarine | 69c | 204.91$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xace9…f74abacked Yellow Submarine | 47c | 203.9$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.85 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Ilbirs eSports | 26c | 203.23$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.71 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33f0…b7aebacked Ilbirs eSports | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa8…6e47backed Ilbirs eSports | 44c | 198.66$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.25 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Yellow Submarine | 77c | 197.24$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.87 | 150 | 64.7%97 W · 53 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c94…5b86backed Ilbirs eSports | 22c | 193.95$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.28 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Yellow Submarine | 46c | 193.52$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.02 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Ilbirs eSports (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 1 WinnerIlbirs eSports won
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 2 WinnerYellow Submarine won
- Game Handicap: YeS (-1.5) vs Ilbirs eSports (+1.5)Ilbirs eSports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.