Australian A League · resolved market
Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-04-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc1a19f55208c0dfe33278fd77cea344ea2aaac937bb1b5e11045c958600a02e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,651
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,263
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,651 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd41a…fd60backed Yes | 36c | 25,096$9,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,094.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 61c | 11,068$6,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,365.76 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Yes | 36c | 5,593$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +36%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 64c | 3,827$2,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.51 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 64c | 2,761$1,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.1 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…fc21backed No | 73c | 2,383$1,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.34 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 50c | 1,887$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 73c | 1,576$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.27 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 71c | 1,562$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.7 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked No | 68c | 1,376$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.95 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Yes | 49c | 1,076$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2aef…f8dfbacked No | 50c | 999.97$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.99 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 2c | 972.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 68c | 688.96$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.47 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 74c | 600$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1f…6a93backed No | 58c | 599.97$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 28c | 570.56$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.1 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc10d…e679backed Yes | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 56c | 555$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.2 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 72c | 500.82$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.99 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87e4…b726backed Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 72c | 486$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.08 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 69c | 480$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.28 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked No | 30c | 457.22$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.05 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +42%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 50c | 446.36$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.16 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes | 30c | 436.62$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.65 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed No | 60c | 434.85$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.94 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -6.0wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Yes | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes | 45c | 425.38$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 24c | 412.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 72c | 400$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Yes | 45c | 380.67$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.04 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 58c | 344.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.29 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 27c | 314.81$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked Yes | 28c | 312.69$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Yes | 41c | 260$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Yes | 43c | 238.19$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked No | 55c | 235.93$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.04 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 40c | 210.44$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.61 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 64c | 210$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 64c | 210$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed No | 62c | 208$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.03 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 64c | 195$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 64c | 195$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed No | 60c | 185.25$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 64c | 185$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked No | 62c | 180.23$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.25 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 63c | 160$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 70c | 150.88$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.73 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 70c | 150.88$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.73 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 74c | 148.02$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.49 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bea…c4b2backed Yes | 46c | 141.28$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Yes | 9c | 136.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 27c | 120$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 42c | 119.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 63c | 119$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.03 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked No | 78c | 117.34$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.19per pick | 24cpaid | +118.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 18c | 110.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…6f16backed Yes | 45c | 108.89$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +187.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff05…18bbbacked Yes | 47c | 106.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 35c | 105$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882b…4870backed Yes | 49c | 104.61$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Yes | 34c | 96.28$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed No | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 51c | 85.29$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea5d…d375backed Yes | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 47c | 85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 74c | 81.02$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Yes | 26c | 78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed4f…6134backed Yes | 31c | 76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…c252backed No | 75c | 73.92$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 28c | 70.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…4983backed Yes | 40c | 70.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…a60ebacked No | 69c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed No | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 55c | 61.95$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1172…06d5backed Yes | 50c | 60.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 28c | 56.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 29c | 51.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aab…9765backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae4…955abacked Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +100%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked No | 53c | 49.7$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed No | 60c | 49.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…5401backed Yes | 47c | 49.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…6b7dbacked No | 54c | 47.91$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.92 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 30c | 45.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d3…aafbbacked Yes | 47c | 42.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 75c | 37.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 73c | 37.01$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 110 | 50%55 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 56c | 34.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c7…4459backed Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 46c | 32.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 40c | 32.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -13.0wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-04-19?this page
- Will Adelaide United FC vs. Macarthur FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-04-19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.