Australian A League · resolved market
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-04-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e6bd348ad04d433bb927e70ff869ff22088e3e2079eac49d59af1a650828a8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,206
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $126,027
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,206 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb5fd…8c6dbacked Yes | 48c | 36,100$17,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,815.76 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 59c | 12,677$7,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,525.29 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd41a…fd60backed Yes | 34c | 10,000$3,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,632.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed No | 76c | 5,167$3,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,927.03 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b5…bd15backed No | 73c | 3,562$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 53c | 3,076$1,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.73 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 32c | 3,072$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,090.95 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.99 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…5dfebacked No | 51c | 2,924$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 46c | 2,903$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.49 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked No | 16c | 2,530$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.4 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 23c | 2,395$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,848.86 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed No | 45c | 2,059$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 52c | 1,750$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed No | 52c | 1,458$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 65c | 1,410$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.89 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 32c | 1,138$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.81 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 52c | 995$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.4 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 65c | 953.15$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.01 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed No | 54c | 928.76$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked No | 53c | 908.45$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 65c | 846.8$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.88 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 43c | 801.12$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.26 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked No | 53c | 727.3$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 52c | 601$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.52 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +5.3wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed No | 53c | 550.38$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.7 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f9…0eaabacked Yes | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 27c | 498.81$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.13 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 52c | 454.21$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.42 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 52c | 450$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…fc21backed Yes | 50c | 431.3$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.65 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 54cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 45c | 390$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.6 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 24c | 328.89$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.57 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 49c | 324.49$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.49 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 59c | 319.56$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.05 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.96 | 110 | 63.6%70 W · 40 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 52c | 300$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4d…4829backed No | 75c | 295.84$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0168…0905backed Yes | 39c | 293.62$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.11 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed No | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Yes | 49c | 280.21$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.61 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Yes | 29c | 272.07$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.07 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 50c | 263.61$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.15 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed4f…6134backed Yes | 39c | 257.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 35c | 240.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.62 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 48c | 239.96$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.78 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d44…2f97backed No | 48c | 224.38$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.27 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 46c | 214.8$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 52c | 210$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 52c | 210$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 35c | 203.89$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.11 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 50c | 190.72$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.52 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes | 52c | 188.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.43 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 52c | 185$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.2 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 41c | 184$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.56 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 55c | 180$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed No | 50c | 177.78$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.89 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab0…3c26backed Yes | 37c | 175.36$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 49c | 171.79$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.85 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked No | 75c | 160.98$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.67 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed No | 53c | 156.11$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Yes | 45c | 153.54$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.45 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 59c | 150$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed No | 17c | 149.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 46c | 146.71$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.73 | 110 | 50%55 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 32c | 144.1$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.93 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +22.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…3ed7backed Yes | 25c | 140$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Yes | 34c | 131.66$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ee…446cbacked Yes | 32c | 126.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +217.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 51c | 121.5$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.22 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Yes | 52c | 121.14$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.55 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 15c | 114.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Yes | 36c | 111.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.18 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked No | 74c | 111$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.07 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed No | 52c | 110$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaef0…b68abacked Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9781…e481backed Yes | 49c | 102.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +219.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed No | 53c | 99.97$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 17c | 99.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -13.0wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2062…6be2backed No | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-04-19?this page
- Will Adelaide United FC vs. Macarthur FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-04-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.