Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Lausanne-Sport win on 2026-02-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9de79954a1cf92824679418f4fb4f01d49395154a4813173c3f99b301229564
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,010
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,971
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,010 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 29c | 14,645$4,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,197.64 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 52c | 7,389$3,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,526.06 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed No | 52c | 6,330$3,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,038.4 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 5,180$3,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.34 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…39a6backed No | 52c | 3,007$1,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,443.41 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2511…98f4backed Yes | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…b06bbacked Yes | 48c | 1,650$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 47c | 1,410$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.69 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 74 | 17.6%13 W · 61 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 48c | 895.78$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.57 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 46c | 874.69$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.36 | 123 | 36.6%45 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 34c | 799.47$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.95 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed No | 53c | 747.17$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.17 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked No | 54c | 675.93$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.93 | 14 | 92.9%13 W · 1 L | +4.3wins | +0.30per pick | 62cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 54c | 545.36$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.98 | 251 | 57%143 W · 108 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed No | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.55 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed No | 53c | 437.35$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.55 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked Yes | 42c | 435.06$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.56 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 47c | 426$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.22 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Yes | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed Yes | 38c | 382.73$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.44 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 80c | 294$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 54c | 292.21$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.42 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 45c | 230$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c1…0101backed Yes | 10c | 183.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…6c2ebacked Yes | 47c | 150.23$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd8…5cdbbacked Yes | 46c | 148$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Yes | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 30c | 128.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.01 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed No | 52c | 119.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Yes | 42c | 119.56$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.55 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 54c | 114.17$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.67 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…1dd4backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa556…e483backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 639 | 57.1%365 W · 274 L | +35.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…08d7backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed No | 54c | 97.22$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.72 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…85e2backed Yes | 49c | 96.47$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.27 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Yes | 48c | 95.52$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 47c | 85.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Yes | 41c | 85.26$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.09 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…44e8backed Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 47c | 65.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 47c | 62.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 2,175 | 37.6%817 W · 1,358 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 47c | 60.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…c4fcbacked Yes | 48c | 57.48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Yes | 44c | 56.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 46c | 54.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Yes | 48c | 52.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9675…6bf3backed Yes | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed No | 53c | 47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 29c | 45.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 160 | 13.1%21 W · 139 L | -18.8wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -47%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…9ac1backed Yes | 34c | 43.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 43c | 42.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2062…6be2backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb301…79ddbacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -74%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 72c | 41.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…b39abacked Yes | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 72c | 39.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x546e…ec0cbacked Yes | 47c | 36.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.38per pick | 48cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 48c | 34.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 56c | 34.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 62c | 33.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 58c | 31.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc307…bf36backed No | 52c | 31.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.39per pick | 46cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 54c | 21.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27a7…36dcbacked No | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +133.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 54c | 19.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…5f02backed No | 77c | 16.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.66 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Lausanne-Sport win on 2026-02-26?this page
- Will FC Lausanne-Sport vs. SK Sigma Olomouc end in a draw?No won
- Will SK Sigma Olomouc win on 2026-02-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.