Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Lausanne-Sport vs. SK Sigma Olomouc end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef46b024f8196bfb02aa32dc4e6f59ea80979ff703bf9ee539f1af4d9c789755
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,447
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,645
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,447 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 3,621$2,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.77 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 27c | 1,250$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.32 | 74 | 17.6%13 W · 61 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 29c | 1,079$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.54 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 20c | 999.93$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Yes | 29c | 862.07$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 17c | 655.55$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.97 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Yes | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 72c | 428.5$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.9 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 12c | 400$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.5 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 76c | 369.28$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.29 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dce…b663backed No | 73c | 326.74$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.2 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 72cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 263.98$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.04 | 251 | 57%143 W · 108 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 21c | 238.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 27c | 232.4$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 74c | 217.97$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.78 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 74c | 187.91$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.07 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 26c | 150.31$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 71c | 142.39$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.71 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Yes | 27c | 140.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 74c | 125.81$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.09 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…6c2ebacked Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 21c | 88.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 160 | 13.1%21 W · 139 L | -18.8wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -47%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84ca…0d75backed Yes | 19c | 84.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 72c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 72c | 67$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 30.9%25 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 29c | 65.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Yes | 25c | 57.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9468…dc7dbacked Yes | 29c | 48.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2944…031abacked Yes | 29c | 47.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 29c | 45.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -12.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 75c | 44.75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 179 | 56.4%101 W · 78 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…f80abacked Yes | 28c | 40.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…b39abacked Yes | 28c | 36.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 72c | 28.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…d57bbacked No | 71c | 27.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed No | 75c | 27.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 71c | 22.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 76c | 21.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e3…4bd5backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 72cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed No | 73c | 14.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.83 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Lausanne-Sport vs. SK Sigma Olomouc end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Lausanne-Sport win on 2026-02-26?No won
- Will SK Sigma Olomouc win on 2026-02-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.