TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-04-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$148,437
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$154,708

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,437 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfd29…77aebacked Yes54c105,451$56,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,684.232934.5%10 W · 19 L-4.8wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6e70…f06fbacked No46c19,565$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No46c13,359$6,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,150.755,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No46c10,984$5,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,043.571,76450.2%886 W · 878 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed No47c10,925$5,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,1405349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked No47c8,085$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8009246.7%43 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No46c5,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3003946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No51c4,546$2,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,313.351,09843.8%481 W · 617 L-14.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No46c4,382$1,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,995.8379435.1%279 W · 515 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No45c3,159$1,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,427.3511742.7%50 W · 67 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d8…31cfbacked No35c2,962$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.193458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No54c2,418$1,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,303.362,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No46c2,310$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.9853148.8%259 W · 272 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe757…c161backed No1c2,120$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed No46c1,997$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.215567.3%37 W · 18 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No46c1,920$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87814058.6%82 W · 58 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes59c1,901$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.3513153.4%70 W · 61 L+14.1wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+22.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x284d…59f7backed No47c1,900$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No46c1,895$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.7519055.3%105 W · 85 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No46c1,642$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.8914557.2%83 W · 62 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No45c1,607$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.1847155.8%263 W · 208 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed No45c1,574$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.521656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fff…3a96backed No46c1,148$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-45.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No45c1,009$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.1516356.4%92 W · 71 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked No45c868.41$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38914037.1%52 W · 88 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x981c…306fbacked Yes58c865.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.863135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked No46c851.51$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.4619856.1%111 W · 87 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No48c819$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.71,25451.4%644 W · 610 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a54…4e11backed Yes50c800$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4042842.9%12 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No45c761$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.1716454.3%89 W · 75 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed No44c630.55$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.259926.3%26 W · 73 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick27cpaid+7.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.248457.1%48 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No45c575.94$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.991,11049.5%549 W · 561 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed No45c535.79$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.11127.3%3 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No16c524.8$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.6620132.3%65 W · 136 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-40.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e45…4b13backed No80c500$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400650%3 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked No49c499.66$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.881154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed No49c471.04$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.758558.8%50 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes79c452.07$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.151,02841.7%429 W · 599 L-31.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe56…593abacked No17c449.99$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick15cpaid+411.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked No62c436.57$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.444161%25 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked No47c410.06$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.161464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick60cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No45c403.48$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.6111654.3%63 W · 53 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed No46c388$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.485271.2%37 W · 15 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6417440.2%70 W · 104 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No57c303.17$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.4962652.6%329 W · 297 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No41c301.67$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.9789955.1%495 W · 404 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No31c292.75$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.8542625.8%110 W · 316 L-33.7wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-40%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x61b9…8913backed Yes73c288.9$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick67cpaid+28.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No45c287$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.971,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31c7…eca3backed No45c283.87$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.74837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-37.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes39c246.54$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.3911241.1%46 W · 66 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36dc…279abacked Yes58c244.07$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.55250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df0…ddaebacked No45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No47c212.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9847860.3%288 W · 190 L+15.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed No47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004663%29 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed No42c206.08$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.16476.4%3 W · 44 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick18cpaid-71.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes58c204$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.281,11746.2%516 W · 601 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes56c202.68$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.1562349.1%306 W · 317 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6e5…b254backed Yes71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584242.9%18 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked No47c189.92$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.159859.2%58 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes41c181.96$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.8515358.8%90 W · 63 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb967…3bfdbacked Yes59c170.09$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d8c…35b0backed Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.491942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x627f…595cbacked Yes59c168.4$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.4580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a96…3087backed Yes26c166.31$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.07250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+92.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes30c164.7$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.2912535.2%44 W · 81 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked No46c156.67$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9715971.1%113 W · 46 L+15.5wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+13.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6b7f…657ebacked Yes65c156.25$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.23825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-55.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked No47c155.68$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.179458.5%55 W · 39 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae8c…b99bbacked No42c149.97$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.992744.4%12 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1cc…1958backed No47c139.72$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.671163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+28.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No71c132.75$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.2449044.3%217 W · 273 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No33c130.01$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.492,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef5c…6ababacked No47c129.08$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.67757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+44.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked No47c123.44$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.949056.7%51 W · 39 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed No46c120$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.218543.8%81 W · 104 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeca1…3d96backed Yes52c119.61$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.611625%4 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-39.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked Yes51c118.78$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.15250%26 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked No55c115.7$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.464465.9%29 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb3d…7819backed Yes26c115.58$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.58250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+92.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes60c115.23$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.493446.1%431 W · 503 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77ac…5750backed Yes59c108.81$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.71650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No49c108.76$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2929425.2%74 W · 220 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Yes41c107.05$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.246361.9%39 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d29…c9eebacked No47c100.43$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.631546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe290…7fb0backed Yes69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e34…63f7backed No55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.94072.5%29 W · 11 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Yes41c91.12$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.795667.9%38 W · 18 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Yes80c87.76$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9612045.8%55 W · 65 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4a3…bce8backed No43c83$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6930%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Yes70c78.57$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2915068%102 W · 48 L+16.7wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+16.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5b5d…adc4backed Yes31c71.5$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.04333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ea3…71a1backed No46c70.75$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.471457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb1a…5cddbacked No47c70$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8efb…c73ebacked Yes49c70$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.71540%6 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-27.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9720…2c24backed No31c68.85$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.392317.4%4 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-44%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes69c68.72$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.151,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e9f…5403backed No47c67.15$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.56862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No54c64.71$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.235655.4%31 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+20.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.