Asian League · resolved market
Will Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x757e58906c8240372bc7b1bee398696865707e35defb47502422df8be1537ab6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,410
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,530
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,410 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Yes | 52c | 3,416$1,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,776.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 48c | 3,065$1,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.9 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 51c | 888.64$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.42 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 50c | 861.93$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.47 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 44c | 653.28$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.74 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 39c | 603.54$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.04 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61b9…8913backed Yes | 60c | 505.22$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.02 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 67cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 19c | 494.07$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.3 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 57c | 364.37$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.72 | 99 | 26.3%26 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 45c | 362.85$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.67 | 427 | 25.8%110 W · 317 L | -34.1wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 57c | 349.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 78c | 304.33$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.95 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 88 | 14.8%13 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 78c | 145.23$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.95 | 1,116 | 49.5%552 W · 564 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x152f…8be5backed Yes | 64c | 137.56$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 119.97$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.34 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb3d…7819backed Yes | 61c | 114.75$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd895…e48fbacked Yes | 66c | 97.97$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Yes | 52c | 96.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.41 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 64c | 95$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.25 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 73c | 94.25$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fb…28dabacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 22c | 90.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…1e38backed Yes | 22c | 90.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01f5…5cfbbacked Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +135.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e69…6e36backed Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 77c | 76.28$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Yes | 29c | 73.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31c7…eca3backed Yes | 32c | 63.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 22c | 61.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 66c | 61.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 729 | 44.2%322 W · 407 L | -29.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…7b0abacked Yes | 45c | 61.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 76c | 58.56$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked No | 40c | 43.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…746bbacked No | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…ea27backed Yes | 65c | 39.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 62c | 38.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 42c | 36.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea62…ea4dbacked Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b5…c197backed Yes | 62c | 32.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 71c | 29.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8799backed No | 76c | 26.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 78c | 22.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 65c | 22.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb485…20a5backed Yes | 77c | 21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-04-04?Yes won
- Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-04-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.