Asian League · resolved market
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-04-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79d6f656b67c5e804fcb226735cc4e96ac1545b728232123c3a4dd85543d9d82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,239
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,549
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,239 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 23c | 2,715$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd0…3373backed Yes | 23c | 2,046$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 21c | 1,250$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.75 | 99 | 26.3%26 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 75c | 977.88$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.67 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fff…3a96backed Yes | 24c | 935.71$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 79c | 879.87$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.06 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 78c | 838.24$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.14 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 680.69$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.23 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 77c | 505.28$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.48 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 88 | 14.8%13 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9403…cd0ebacked Yes | 22c | 463.94$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 74c | 450$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 432.58$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.02 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 12c | 429.56$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df0…ddaebacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 75c | 394.57$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.6 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 74c | 322$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.72 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 78c | 319.54$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.83 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Yes | 10c | 278.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 74c | 249.18$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.06 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…c9a8backed No | 79c | 187.67$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.41 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 78cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 8c | 162.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed No | 77c | 155.84$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 14c | 155.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…5f50backed Yes | 21c | 143$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 21c | 97.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b5…e85ebacked No | 80c | 93$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 77c | 90.33$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77ac…5750backed Yes | 27c | 77.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…67c9backed Yes | 21c | 70.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…7b0abacked Yes | 20c | 61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…2e20backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 74c | 47.25$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…0947backed Yes | 24c | 41.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c7…eca3backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 80c | 35.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5470…7685backed No | 79c | 27.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8799backed No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7190…00e7backed No | 76c | 23.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No | 78c | 19.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 73c | 15.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…0329backed No | 78c | 14.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked No | 80c | 12.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.54 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-04-04?this page
- Will Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-04-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.