TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x627f…595c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
234
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Tennis, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 58 out of 100; worst La Liga at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT12477.4%96 W · 28 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick69cpaid+11.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 124 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.29
Bad Homburg Open: Naomi Osaka vs Magdalena Frechbacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.32
HSBC Championships: Rinky Hijikata vs Jiri Leheckabacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Grass Court Championships: Paula Badosa vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Grass Court Championships: Shuai Zhang vs Karolina Muchovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.13
Grass Court Championships: Madison Keys vs Xinyu Wangbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.01
HSBC Championships: Tommy Paul vs Zachary Svajdabacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Marin Cilicbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Gironbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+39.6%+$5.93
Roland Garros WTA: Diane Parry vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Amanda Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajdabacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.48
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paulbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$10.81
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Roland Garros ATP: Raphael Collignon vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Yibing Wubacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$4.57
Roland Garros WTA: Donna Vekic vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$12.12
Roland Garros WTA: Ann Li vs Shuai Zhangbacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Victoria Mboko vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+37.8%+$6.42
Geneva Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$8.69
Geneva Open: Raphael Collignon vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+47%+$15.05
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolinabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.99
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Showing 25 of 124 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT3675%27 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$16.43
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.11
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.58
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.94
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.26
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$4.08
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$11.45
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$5.18
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.34
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Brazil vs. Haiti: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
United States vs. Australia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.42
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.17
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.16
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$7.76
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.23
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+39.6%+$15.85
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.27
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT3663.9%23 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$12.71
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$5.19
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.74
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+42.1%+$5.51
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.62
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.75
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.96
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.84
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$13.13
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.18
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.4
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.04
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.03
Kings vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$17.97
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.84
76ers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.34
76ers vs. Heatbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.29
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+122.7%+$14.7
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.78
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$56.32
Pelicans vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.79
Rockets vs. Bullsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.75
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.55
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$4.25
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$23.16
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.88
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.72
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.38
Will Oxford United FC win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.43
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.8
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+26.6%+$6.72
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-33.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Mindfreak vs Rooster (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #2 Playoffsbacked Rooster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.