TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Grass Court Championships: Shuai Zhang vs Karolina Muchova

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Karolina Muchovaof Shuai Zhang, Karolina Muchova
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,901
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,513

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,901 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd65…ee96backed Shuai Zhang31c16,106$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00036346.8%170 W · 193 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Karolina Muchova76c11,168$8,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,664.294140.6%382 W · 559 L-31.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x17d6…f1e2backed Karolina Muchova70c4,124$2,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,237.296426.6%17 W · 47 L-10.3wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-57.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x9b2c…2151backed Shuai Zhang2c3,468$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3638911.6%45 W · 344 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Karolina Muchova67c3,000$2,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99059348.9%290 W · 303 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Shuai Zhang29c2,756$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.3716825%42 W · 126 L-14.2wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-39.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Karolina Muchova73c2,143$1,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.591,27756.6%723 W · 554 L-19.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Shuai Zhang30c1,989$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.781,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bfa…a8debacked Shuai Zhang12c1,082$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.7435951.3%184 W · 175 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde7d…499ebacked Shuai Zhang9c1,000$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8627132.1%87 W · 184 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick29cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Shuai Zhang33c999.99$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.722,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Shuai Zhang34c963.99$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.7620139.8%80 W · 121 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3957…35f0backed Karolina Muchova73c821.92$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.9217572%126 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Shuai Zhang3c781.08$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.436,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Shuai Zhang7c725.29$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.425,00941.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L-82.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Shuai Zhang7c601.13$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.393,72642.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L-48.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Karolina Muchova67c528$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.244,65048.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Karolina Muchova78c486.4$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.035,42256.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L+231.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x79d7…893dbacked Karolina Muchova66c454.55$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.555046%23 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdec4…046fbacked Shuai Zhang3c453.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517829.2%52 W · 126 L+0.7wins0.00per pick29cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe134…f6dabacked Shuai Zhang10c447.88$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9124054.6%131 W · 109 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd4c…b237backed Karolina Muchova71c414.44$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.191656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Karolina Muchova67c332.2$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.076,57446.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L-45.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Shuai Zhang13c321.64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.342,09944.5%935 W · 1,164 L-51.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x292b…23cebacked Karolina Muchova66c313$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.42666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+27.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Shuai Zhang13c301.09$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3930226.8%81 W · 221 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Karolina Muchova65c290.23$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.171,54249.2%759 W · 783 L+16.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…aa3cbacked Karolina Muchova66c287.88$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.886459.4%38 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Karolina Muchova71c277.76$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.551,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Shuai Zhang11c255.56$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.79,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb86c…b76fbacked Karolina Muchova71c239.99$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.620763.3%131 W · 76 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked Karolina Muchova72c208.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3385057.5%489 W · 361 L+0.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Shuai Zhang32c197.49$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.712,52138.4%969 W · 1,552 L+93.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Karolina Muchova71c197.18$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.1885568.3%584 W · 271 L+24.6wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Karolina Muchova71c188.78$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.91,12551.1%575 W · 550 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked Karolina Muchova73c186.36$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.3219152.4%100 W · 91 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Karolina Muchova68c176$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.325,49848.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L+10.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9644…d03bbacked Karolina Muchova70c171.36$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.8737247.3%176 W · 196 L-17.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Shuai Zhang36c157.08$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9813243.9%58 W · 74 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e46…5737backed Karolina Muchova71c150$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.525446.5%118 W · 136 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f15…650dbacked Karolina Muchova72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8915762.4%98 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Karolina Muchova69c114.3$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.431,06857.4%613 W · 455 L+21.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Shuai Zhang14c114$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9656744.6%253 W · 314 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3f9…45a7backed Shuai Zhang9c112.66$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1438066.3%252 W · 128 L-0.7wins0.00per pick67cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Shuai Zhang33c105$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351,19852.4%628 W · 570 L+28.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d4f…ab40backed Karolina Muchova73c100.07$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.074170.7%29 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick72cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1646…2f81backed Karolina Muchova73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2731849.7%158 W · 160 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x42d6…01ccbacked Karolina Muchova76c98.68$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.681,07762.8%676 W · 401 L-27.9wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Karolina Muchova69c95$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.756,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2725…e7d1backed Karolina Muchova69c90.02$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3644452.5%233 W · 211 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Karolina Muchova70c88.33$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.53,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Shuai Zhang32c82$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2486647.9%415 W · 451 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc987…123abacked Karolina Muchova66c80$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.21540%6 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-37.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd3b…cea6backed Karolina Muchova67c80$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.18365.1%54 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Shuai Zhang27c74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9815745.9%72 W · 85 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Karolina Muchova69c67.84$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0350340%201 W · 302 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Karolina Muchova71c64$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.562,08952.2%1,090 W · 999 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02f8…df25backed Karolina Muchova71c56.34$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3411759%69 W · 48 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x626d…e570backed Shuai Zhang30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.152135.1%183 W · 338 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Karolina Muchova71c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.51,77252.1%923 W · 849 L-1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbe4…f12fbacked Karolina Muchova69c47.54$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7459565.4%389 W · 206 L+17.5wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18d8…400bbacked Shuai Zhang29c45.22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0934627.7%96 W · 250 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8490…ac46backed Karolina Muchova71c42.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.255650%28 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Shuai Zhang33c41$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.537,18349.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L+112.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Karolina Muchova69c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.467848.4%328 W · 350 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Karolina Muchova69c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4714457.6%83 W · 61 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x89e8…c85fbacked Karolina Muchova66c37.79$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.856448.4%31 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82aa…fe2fbacked Karolina Muchova68c36$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5262727.3%171 W · 456 L-15.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Karolina Muchova72c35.41$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.911,02257.8%591 W · 431 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Karolina Muchova69c35$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.851,79460.2%1,080 W · 714 L+6.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x018a…5e65backed Karolina Muchova73c34.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.257749.4%38 W · 39 L-7.5wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-17.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xae81…f04bbacked Karolina Muchova71c32.89$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5421959.4%130 W · 89 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6332…4576backed Karolina Muchova70c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98165.4%53 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f4…335fbacked Karolina Muchova73c27.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4424474.2%181 W · 63 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick71cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0b…4db0backed Karolina Muchova74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.038950.6%45 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Karolina Muchova67c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.253,98745.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x627f…595cbacked Karolina Muchova71c21.13$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1312477.4%96 W · 28 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick69cpaid+11.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x36d9…c3cabacked Karolina Muchova67c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.622246.8%104 W · 118 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d70…ae13backed Karolina Muchova66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.87657.9%44 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d43…f54ebacked Karolina Muchova66c16.17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5875%6 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb27b…5d6ebacked Karolina Muchova71c15.48$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.491540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-35.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked Karolina Muchova70c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.5839851%203 W · 195 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.