TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-04-12?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,246
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,835

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,246 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc18a…7c09backed Yes27c5,851$1,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,579.641233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+80.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8401…0fa1backed Yes21c4,536$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.6540%2 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick19cpaid+50.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6379…c82ebacked No74c3,725$2,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.44450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+38%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x191c…f0b4backed Yes8c3,630$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.76633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00b8…933ebacked No74c2,528$1,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.15450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No79c2,451$1,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.296942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe987…165cbacked Yes13c2,119$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.031020%2 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick24cpaid+15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No73c2,000$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5405160.8%31 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb911…7c31backed Yes28c1,751$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.431414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick17cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9977…3020backed Yes7c1,702$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.1530%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6070…88a8backed Yes5c1,611$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.421717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-54.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No73c1,565$1,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.4898544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No73c1,525$1,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.7568750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No73c1,400$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.9841954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes27c1,212$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.2410940.4%44 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes8c1,181$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.4812731.5%40 W · 87 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cfe…294cbacked Yes19c1,019$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.52911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick14cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed No73c999.93$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.986836.8%25 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x135f…528cbacked Yes22c846.76$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4522…ef10backed Yes17c838.41$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.53837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes26c819.62$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.133951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No73c814.33$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.7435646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes12c799.99$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9616032.5%52 W · 108 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes27c721.12$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.348144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a54…4e11backed Yes22c549.18$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.013452.9%18 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No73c543.67$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.2332854.3%178 W · 150 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e85…9b0bbacked Yes27c531.22$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.43650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+39.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1303633.3%12 W · 24 L-5.1wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-34.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes11c460$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.68229.3%24 W · 58 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce00…7ce0backed Yes9c420.18$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.82425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No73c410.48$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.8318951.3%97 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes23c400$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9310233.3%34 W · 68 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No73c400$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10822551.6%116 W · 109 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Yes28c345.24$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.661643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes12c300$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367248.6%35 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+23.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes13c300$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3815623.7%37 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes12c290.77$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7722743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84bb…25d3backed Yes5c285.6$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.28728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe196…7976backed Yes19c285.42$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.23244.2%1 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick18cpaid-85.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked No74c280.69$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.983961.5%24 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd13e…f2d6backed No74c266.05$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.171485.7%12 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick66cpaid+29.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x014c…39e7backed Yes28c263.12$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.67633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes22c259.96$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1912035.8%43 W · 77 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes6c251.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5620431.4%64 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6630…9944backed Yes6c244.97$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+26.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0833…bc88backed Yes20c239.9$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.98955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x275f…39d9backed No73c220.53$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.54250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9531…18ffbacked Yes22c216.64$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.663630.6%11 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1159…6228backed Yes14c203.23$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4550%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d55…f50cbacked Yes27c193.83$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.331827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-43.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Yes8c177.15$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1715238.8%59 W · 93 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c67…910abacked Yes30c159.67$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.93554.3%19 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40f6…7bd7backed Yes12c157.87$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.941520%3 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-40.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No73c142.98$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.640447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes18c142.07$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.715635.9%56 W · 100 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes8c139.61$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5626241.2%108 W · 154 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8010…04e4backed No76c129.7$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.393177.4%24 W · 7 L+6.7wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+92.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5926…a9debacked Yes24c125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick34cpaid-81.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x569b…c66ebacked Yes27c123.95$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.474337.2%16 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0d9…da5ebacked No75c122.14$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.532070%14 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x391c…ea3fbacked Yes12c118.4$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.21812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick41cpaid-62.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Yes27c113.93$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.531233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-41.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc003…47a8backed Yes13c107.54$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.981030%3 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-45.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0b8…5d14backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261540%6 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dec…3302backed Yes27c99.16$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.773946.2%18 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+23.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x07b4…b731backed Yes27c95.62$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8240%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No80c90.76$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5343058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed No74c90.34$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.493167.7%21 W · 10 L+5.2wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+32.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3ad8…5004backed Yes27c86.06$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.244247.6%20 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0dc…ffadbacked No73c85$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.954669.6%32 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0163…9aa0backed No73c84.85$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.915149%25 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Yes15c82.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.343831.6%12 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d78…3242backed Yes15c79.08$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.86250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+138.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefa8…924ebacked Yes23c77.19$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.671060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Yes27c70.83$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1210456.7%59 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95c8…3469backed Yes27c70.83$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.128453.6%45 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No77c67.17$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1341144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No78c66.13$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6714347.6%68 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No73c63$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0165254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No73c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.56560%39 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7731…ad7ebacked Yes20c57.79$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.46540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3d…b56cbacked Yes27c53.12$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.344136.6%15 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed Yes26c50.02$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1332150.2%161 W · 160 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb51…be1cbacked Yes26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-45.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadd6…4961backed Yes27c49.12$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Yes26c47.78$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.42837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5f2…2512backed Yes27c44.63$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.053154.8%17 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+19.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes26c41.96$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1239354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbda1…69fdbacked No74c39.91$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.38771.4%5 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick72cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8ce…3280backed Yes27c38.21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb651…4a7cbacked No73c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.11291.7%11 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick73cpaid+25.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x627f…595cbacked No79c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.253100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4c9…a454backed No74c22.78$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.924759.6%28 W · 19 L+5.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+28%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No74c21.2$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.515255.8%29 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4158…4961backed No75c19.7$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.921050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc987…123abacked No74c15.17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.94366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No73c15.15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.0941854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc942…a8a1backed No74c15.03$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.915100%5 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed No73c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.056358.7%37 W · 26 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.