TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-04-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,897
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,252

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,897 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8790…010bbacked Yes26c8,544$2,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,186.0113153.4%70 W · 61 L+14.1wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+22.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Yes6c4,534$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.07476.4%3 W · 44 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick18cpaid-71.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No79c3,046$2,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.165,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No80c2,712$2,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.72,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes20c2,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.924323%56 W · 187 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes2c1,998$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9713641.9%57 W · 79 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7f…657ebacked Yes4c1,504$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.23825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-55.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes47c1,419$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.9412535.2%44 W · 81 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Yes22c1,249$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.944729.8%14 W · 33 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No37c1,113$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.0679435.1%279 W · 515 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked No48c1,013$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.79246.7%43 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes62c952.37$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.1462349.1%306 W · 317 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x981c…306fbacked Yes55c905.32$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No40c637.56$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.651,76450.2%886 W · 878 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No76c629.24$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.7484347.7%402 W · 441 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a54…4e11backed Yes52c600$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3122842.9%12 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefdd…1e8abacked No50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+42.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked No78c554.46$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.281464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick60cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes59c512.72$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008457.1%48 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes65c499.86$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.171,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed No41c487.8$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.85837.9%22 W · 36 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes64c446.64$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.3293446.1%431 W · 503 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007834.6%27 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Yes49c380.59$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.493452.9%18 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes54c311$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.9422555.1%124 W · 101 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes11c309.73$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.992,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No41c282.16$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.431,11049.5%549 W · 561 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes6c278.53$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8542625.8%110 W · 316 L-33.7wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-40%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0ea3…71a1backed Yes26c275.71$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.521457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No62c275.34$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.7682053.8%441 W · 379 L+25.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1cc…1958backed No76c273.73$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.831163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+28.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No45c272.05$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.630049.7%149 W · 151 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes65c270$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.31,11746.2%516 W · 601 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes59c263.67$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.751,25451.4%644 W · 610 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e78…ccd1backed Yes23c258.37$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.161421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-46.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No44c222$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.3211742.7%50 W · 67 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No77c204.48$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0114557.2%83 W · 62 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef5c…6ababacked No75c200.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.08757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+44.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes65c200$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1302147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed5d…2668backed Yes30c197.87$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605446.3%25 W · 29 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked No77c196.11$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.59056.7%51 W · 39 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x63a4…6c04backed Yes51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked No80c188.56$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.949859.2%58 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8fb…28dabacked Yes60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No36c151.53$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.4489955.1%495 W · 404 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7b…9ab9backed Yes66c151.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d8c…35b0backed Yes66c150.97$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d3e…2e20backed Yes57c150$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.41735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No34c149.21$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.4829917.4%52 W · 247 L-13.0wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed No35c141.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.266355.6%35 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No77c137.87$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0215358.8%90 W · 63 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No77c137.87$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0211654.3%63 W · 53 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No44c135.73$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.3739649.7%197 W · 199 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a1f…eb43backed Yes51c132.41$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.532941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed No35c130.81$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.036259.7%37 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dc4…3479backed Yes63c130$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8efb…c73ebacked Yes11c130$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.81540%6 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-27.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed No77c129.51$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.529552.6%50 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No79c104.24$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0549044.3%217 W · 273 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3341…d7e4backed Yes66c100$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664555.6%25 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Yes46c99.95$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9818543.8%81 W · 104 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1b7…fefdbacked Yes60c94.12$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.472352.2%12 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick64cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x627f…595cbacked Yes54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf54…1a62backed Yes60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501560%9 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No42c83.05$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0353148.8%259 W · 272 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe867…0905backed Yes53c83.02$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4410041%41 W · 59 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed No75c80$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203964.1%25 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x327b…db61backed Yes61c75.3$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a53…074abacked No74c71.72$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.92763%17 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No48c64.86$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.732948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked No75c62.71$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.686361.9%39 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked No75c62.71$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.685667.9%38 W · 18 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked No75c62.71$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.684465.9%29 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0079…b852backed Yes47c59.57$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes66c59.09$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396238.7%24 W · 38 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No34c51.89$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2516561.2%101 W · 64 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8943…6c65backed No77c51.6$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.941070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+39.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes57c50.26$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.651618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick37cpaid-55.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x07e3…37b1backed No79c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.51741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-39.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf237…4989backed Yes54c46.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.98250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d57…f3fabacked Yes66c45.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26cb…c558backed Yes57c38.72$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ebf…2da0backed Yes52c37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.393441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe65b…bde7backed Yes56c35.39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c60…ba30backed Yes54c34.44$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1466…1d5abacked Yes65c34$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe032…410ebacked No35c34$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.12356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed No44c33.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No41c33.33$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.669444.7%42 W · 52 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No46c30.85$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6873850.3%371 W · 367 L-2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed Yes66c30.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019268.2%131 W · 61 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14af…d812backed Yes66c30.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed No78c29.42$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.43977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.25per pick53cpaid+104.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed No40c27.5$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.55349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes56c26.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.027557.3%43 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dda…8799backed No76c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.322770.4%19 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick71cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd421…8531backed No79c25.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick60cpaid+47.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd151…dd16backed Yes55c25.09$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a3d…4d49backed Yes50c24.69$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.241442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.