Asian League · resolved market
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-04-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x487cffc71f14319081a952750ed664261e2be6d58f808e46ff78877c4d26fb13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,397
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,263
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,397 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 51c | 32,000$16,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,419.9 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 54c | 8,247$4,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,822.89 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7f…657ebacked No | 3c | 6,114$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.73 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 3,426$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.85 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 25c | 3,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.97 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x284d…59f7backed No | 42c | 2,862$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.64 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed No | 13c | 1,511$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.12 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 5c | 1,489$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.67 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 49c | 1,488$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.46 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed Yes | 56c | 1,252$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.41 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bf…81c2backed No | 41c | 1,092$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 18c | 955.46$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.48 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 13c | 716.25$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.61 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 76c | 601.74$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.28 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 58c | 587.46$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.22 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61b9…8913backed Yes | 50c | 550$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.5 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 67cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked No | 11c | 531.31$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.73 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…18f9backed No | 51c | 483.98$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.83 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 13c | 440.97$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.35 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 68c | 405.58$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.78 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 51c | 400.95$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.55 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked No | 52c | 390.57$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.23 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Yes | 54c | 384.77$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.62 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Yes | 47c | 376.91$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.55 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 27c | 319.75$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.07 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 55c | 306.09$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.74 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Yes | 69c | 246$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.26 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Yes | 54c | 244.36$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.44 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce06…c99dbacked No | 51c | 239.52$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.16 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…6ababacked No | 23c | 227.6$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 51c | 188.94$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.36 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 51c | 176.19$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.79 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 51c | 163.47$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.4 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 54c | 162.24$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.14 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed No | 77c | 155.84$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Yes | 53c | 154.91$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.81 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7b…9ab9backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed No | 48c | 152$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.96 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 51c | 148.12$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.57 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 28c | 137.1$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.12 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 61c | 117.52$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.8 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 16c | 112$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.08 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…6b7dbacked No | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3c…b4f5backed No | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…a7bdbacked No | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 20c | 91.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 22c | 89.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.21 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Yes | 61c | 80.88$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.53 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01f5…5cfbbacked Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +135.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc53e…fbedbacked Yes | 72c | 69.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed No | 49c | 67.02$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…a6ddbacked No | 49c | 66.41$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 19c | 63.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c73ebacked No | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked No | 51c | 59.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 67c | 56.36$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe139…e844backed No | 36c | 55.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 23c | 51.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.96 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 42c | 51.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 159 | 71.1%113 W · 46 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked No | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 72c | 41.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 150 | 68%102 W · 48 L | +16.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…1e38backed Yes | 54c | 37.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…51dcbacked No | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1a…5cddbacked No | 48c | 28.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78d8…cffcbacked Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…71a1backed No | 50c | 28.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8799backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b5…56abbacked No | 49c | 23.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd5…a9fbbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-04-04?this page
- Will Shandong Taishan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-04-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.