Asian League · resolved market
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-05-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8401d470baa7011f170dfc172d96ce2554d47ea788af4d7de35bf7bb467b3bd3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,513
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,833
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,513 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 16c | 12,735$2,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.33 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 15c | 3,879$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.89 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 22c | 3,333$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.26 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed Yes | 12c | 3,000$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.54 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26a6…dedebacked Yes | 22c | 1,364$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 80c | 1,200$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked Yes | 12c | 1,000$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de5…8524backed No | 80c | 924.86$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 7c | 871.1$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.62 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 79c | 757.97$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.85 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 80c | 700$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Yes | 22c | 681.81$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5e…f319backed Yes | 7c | 605.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 80c | 600$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 5c | 470.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 80c | 426.25$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.25 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc096…9e8dbacked Yes | 22c | 409.09$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 78c | 393.9$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.91 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88bf…0933backed Yes | 38c | 336.86$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.93 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked No | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee9…68fbbacked Yes | 18c | 270.28$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 80c | 260$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3077…6b45backed Yes | 15c | 225.05$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd2…0156backed Yes | 15c | 216.61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc06e…5796backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 17c | 175.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.31 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…0fddbacked Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 17c | 142.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 21c | 138.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes | 19c | 128.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 18c | 125.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 82 | 14.6%12 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 12c | 120$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 69c | 119.6$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.51 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 72c | 102.78$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.36 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Yes | 11c | 101.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…4529backed Yes | 18c | 94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 78c | 93.84$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 11c | 92.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Yes | 19c | 85.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed No | 80c | 65$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…1dafbacked No | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 19c | 60.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Yes | 20c | 51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…6d30backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed No | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed No | 72c | 38.3$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 77c | 31.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 76c | 28.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 78c | 26.41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed No | 45c | 23.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 78c | 19.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x627f…595cbacked No | 79c | 15.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-05-23?this page
- Will Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-05-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.