Tennis · resolved market
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Marin Cilic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x154630cfe50a13b936da6e895516768e86913e54bbabd9fceeab81cb5a9b5de2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Daniil Medvedevof Daniil Medvedev, Marin Cilic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,331
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,245
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,331 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Daniil Medvedev | 74c | 5,708$4,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.39 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Marin Cilic | 27c | 4,020$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.69 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Marin Cilic | 29c | 2,179$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.97 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…7dd1backed Marin Cilic | 37c | 2,114$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.24 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Daniil Medvedev | 78c | 2,112$1,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.43 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabe0…5adbbacked Daniil Medvedev | 74c | 1,081$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.08 | 331 | 63.7%211 W · 120 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Daniil Medvedev | 66c | 1,054$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.18 | 357 | 55.5%198 W · 159 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Marin Cilic | 5c | 1,017$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.96 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fb…acbabacked Daniil Medvedev | 76c | 919.99$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.8 | 257 | 64.6%166 W · 91 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f10…c927backed Daniil Medvedev | 64c | 899.99$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.99 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef13…53d2backed Marin Cilic | 36c | 752.5$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Daniil Medvedev | 68c | 739.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.46 | 271 | 51.3%139 W · 132 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Marin Cilic | 23c | 585.55$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.8 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Marin Cilic | 36c | 564.4$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.18 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d07…b9febacked Marin Cilic | 5c | 539.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 320 | 8.8%28 W · 292 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5baf…3e56backed Marin Cilic | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 658 | 40.9%269 W · 389 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeff…78f8backed Daniil Medvedev | 65c | 470.99$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.99 | 436 | 47.2%206 W · 230 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd54e…5119backed Daniil Medvedev | 63c | 467.97$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…2242backed Daniil Medvedev | 65c | 462.38$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.38 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Marin Cilic | 24c | 430.88$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.69 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Marin Cilic | 27c | 403.69$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 374 | 44.1%165 W · 209 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a24…a0fdbacked Marin Cilic | 37c | 399.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 138 | 38.4%53 W · 85 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Marin Cilic | 30c | 379.45$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.65 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Daniil Medvedev | 67c | 373.13$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.13 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Marin Cilic | 27c | 370$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Marin Cilic | 26c | 356.45$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.47 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked Daniil Medvedev | 71c | 340$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.6 | 366 | 61.7%226 W · 140 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Marin Cilic | 35c | 301.03$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 481 | 44.5%214 W · 267 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…b55cbacked Marin Cilic | 5c | 299.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Daniil Medvedev | 66c | 296.97$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.97 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Marin Cilic | 28c | 291.76$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.9 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…d782backed Marin Cilic | 21c | 290.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +13.7wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x69cc…2e44backed Daniil Medvedev | 65c | 285.98$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.47 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2e…f1c7backed Marin Cilic | 37c | 273.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c4…8e87backed Marin Cilic | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Marin Cilic | 37c | 265$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.05 | 525 | 57%299 W · 226 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Marin Cilic | 36c | 264.42$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 512 | 36.5%187 W · 325 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Marin Cilic | 33c | 260.42$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.1 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Daniil Medvedev | 66c | 219.98$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.79 | 486 | 37.7%183 W · 303 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Marin Cilic | 21c | 200.01$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.67 | 432 | 50.5%218 W · 214 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Marin Cilic | 34c | 199.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Marin Cilic | 30c | 199$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.72 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Daniil Medvedev | 63c | 193$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.55 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Daniil Medvedev | 63c | 191.01$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.67 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Marin Cilic | 19c | 188.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 346 | 50.6%175 W · 171 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Marin Cilic | 37c | 185.03$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.71 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9896…ab27backed Daniil Medvedev | 69c | 181.16$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Daniil Medvedev | 64c | 177.67$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.61 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Daniil Medvedev | 63c | 158.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.89 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Daniil Medvedev | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 336 | 47.3%159 W · 177 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7741…23e6backed Daniil Medvedev | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6797…e0e5backed Daniil Medvedev | 68c | 144.4$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.31 | 262 | 63%165 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…5e65backed Marin Cilic | 37c | 135.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Daniil Medvedev | 74c | 132.97$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.97 | 825 | 60.5%499 W · 326 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Daniil Medvedev | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x068b…2106backed Daniil Medvedev | 64c | 126.41$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.51 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Marin Cilic | 23c | 121.49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Marin Cilic | 35c | 120$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Marin Cilic | 24c | 119.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Daniil Medvedev | 74c | 109.26$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.41 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…fd02backed Daniil Medvedev | 65c | 107.8$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 389 | 51.9%202 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Marin Cilic | 27c | 103.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 263 | 45.6%120 W · 143 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Daniil Medvedev | 71c | 103.17$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Daniil Medvedev | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 223 | 59.6%133 W · 90 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x411e…72f0backed Daniil Medvedev | 67c | 97.55$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 157 | 62.4%98 W · 59 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8493…6f72backed Daniil Medvedev | 65c | 95.74$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Marin Cilic | 17c | 93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 247 | 40.1%99 W · 148 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Daniil Medvedev | 61c | 91.38$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 226 | 51.8%117 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Marin Cilic | 34c | 90.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.84 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1527…120ebacked Daniil Medvedev | 66c | 87.88$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Marin Cilic | 36c | 79.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 726 | 38.8%282 W · 444 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2554…bb52backed Marin Cilic | 34c | 77.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Marin Cilic | 34c | 72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Marin Cilic | 22c | 70.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Marin Cilic | 32c | 64.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019a…f457backed Daniil Medvedev | 71c | 63.38$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…20c4backed Daniil Medvedev | 63c | 63.17$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Marin Cilic | 36c | 56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f01…548cbacked Marin Cilic | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Daniil Medvedev | 64c | 51.17$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7366…d1aabacked Daniil Medvedev | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa718…baf1backed Marin Cilic | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Daniil Medvedev | 64c | 49.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 939 | 45.5%427 W · 512 L | +20.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571a…177abacked Daniil Medvedev | 67c | 49.01$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…bfddbacked Daniil Medvedev | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 603 | 42%253 W · 350 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2119…1e8fbacked Daniil Medvedev | 63c | 45.3$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3230…6a0abacked Daniil Medvedev | 66c | 45.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Daniil Medvedev | 64c | 44.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 197 | 44.2%87 W · 110 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…4d0dbacked Marin Cilic | 36c | 42.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x097c…630abacked Daniil Medvedev | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00c5…b5e9backed Daniil Medvedev | 63c | 38.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 231 | 62.8%145 W · 86 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13ff…2506backed Daniil Medvedev | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 217 | 59.4%129 W · 88 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae85…c96abacked Daniil Medvedev | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 293 | 52.2%153 W · 140 L | -21.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Daniil Medvedev | 67c | 29.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 457 | 51%233 W · 224 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Daniil Medvedev | 67c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 335 | 50.1%168 W · 167 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe37…911dbacked Daniil Medvedev | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 326 | 75.2%245 W · 81 L | +20.4wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…0918backed Daniil Medvedev | 65c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 498 | 57%284 W · 214 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Daniil Medvedev | 68c | 16.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x627f…595cbacked Daniil Medvedev | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 124 | 77.4%96 W · 28 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe45c…fb69backed Daniil Medvedev | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Marin Cilicthis page
- Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Cilic (+1.5)Cilic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.