TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x571a…177a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Dota2, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 53 out of 100; worst Lol at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT2842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.78
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$20.55
Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10.47
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.96
Czechia vs. Mexico: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.41
Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16
Norway vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$20.48
France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.38
Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.71
Omar Marmoush: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.02
Leandro Trossard: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.87
Dani Olmo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.53
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$10.96
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$54.65
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.97
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.78
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.91
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.1
United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.5
Czechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$59.6
Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.87
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$72.39
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.64
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$54.75
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon WTA: Katerina Siniakova vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Qinwen Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.56
Wimbledon ATP: Casper Ruud vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.51
Mallorca Championships: Adam Walton vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Nick Kyrgios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.76
Halle Open: Taylor Fritz vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$64.35
Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
Halle Open: Learner Tien vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.64
Halle Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.07
Nottingham Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Maria Sakkaribacked Qinwen Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$57.04
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.69
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Marin Cilicbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.17
Stuttgart Open: Nick Kyrgios vs Corentin Moutetbacked Nick Kyrgios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$73.53
All 11 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+25.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.52
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.08
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+150%+$29.24
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$15.66
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.72
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+150%+$22.49
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+236%+$43.76
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.39
All 8 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.32per pick44cpaid-75.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.27
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padresbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.62
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.04
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$12.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Le Havre AC vs. AS Monaco FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.