Leandro Trossard: 1+ goals

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25f21c9d5bf47ca1e4f8de6e6647381897d19bc26505c040beadaaf1212d8d73

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $8,204
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $8,775

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,204 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1d13…3c2fbacked No	72c	2,152$1,548 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$603.46	327	65.7%215 W · 112 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No	72c	999.91$720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$279.97	148	60.1%89 W · 59 L	+6.8wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	28c	854.01$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.71	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24ae…4c80backed Yes	8c	772$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.48	148	56.8%84 W · 64 L	+20.7wins	+0.14per pick	43cpaid	+59.5%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Yes	9c	574.62$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	608	21.9%133 W · 475 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf01…859ebacked Yes	28c	533.68$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.43	78	42.3%33 W · 45 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08d5…1cbbbacked Yes	28c	400$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	107	26.2%28 W · 79 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Yes	28c	354$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.89	361	23.5%85 W · 276 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes	30c	300$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	1,206	50.2%606 W · 600 L	+44.5wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa068…1dfbbacked No	73c	250$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.5	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-10%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd61f…c6a6backed No	70c	240.98$169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.29	128	75.8%97 W · 31 L	+7.6wins	+0.06per pick	70cpaid	+8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde74…77abbacked No	70c	199.99$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	288	73.3%211 W · 77 L	+21.7wins	+0.08per pick	66cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x25c7…9179backed Yes	28c	167.86$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	75	28%21 W · 54 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf87c…8c97backed Yes	31c	151.61$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	161	23.6%38 W · 123 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4b4…2d67backed Yes	28c	107.14$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0341…9294backed Yes	28c	103.57$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	494	26.7%132 W · 362 L	-9.8wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd424…bf7bbacked Yes	29c	103.45$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	90	33.3%30 W · 60 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed No	73c	96.26$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.68	379	71.2%270 W · 109 L	+13.2wins	+0.03per pick	68cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed Yes	28c	84.18$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.57	115	55.7%64 W · 51 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2f9…f703backed No	70c	76.67$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23	41	58.5%24 W · 17 L	+3.0wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf451…b45cbacked Yes	28c	71.43$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.20per pick	45cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x40cc…4c9abacked Yes	28c	71.43$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	25	32%8 W · 17 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-11%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ce…7199backed Yes	28c	71.43$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	43	41.9%18 W · 25 L	+3.9wins	+0.09per pick	33cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbdc2…b720backed Yes	28c	71.43$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	114	17.5%20 W · 94 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x571a…177abacked Yes	28c	70.96$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.87	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ec8…36f4backed Yes	28c	69$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.32	27	18.5%5 W · 22 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4068…f40cbacked Yes	30c	66.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	40	30%12 W · 28 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0db1…d2bebacked Yes	28c	60.71$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-3.7wins	-0.16per pick	42cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa778…46febacked Yes	24c	57.11$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.71	45	26.7%12 W · 33 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…165cbacked No	74c	51$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.39	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf672…c3c4backed Yes	28c	50$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	259	45.2%117 W · 142 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x576a…8677backed Yes	29c	50$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.5	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc4d…f0b8backed Yes	28c	50$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	90	42.2%38 W · 52 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62bc…5053backed Yes	29c	50$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.5	201	49.3%99 W · 102 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No	69c	28.23$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.75	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked No	74c	15$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.9	454	72.9%331 W · 123 L	+18.8wins	+0.04per pick	69cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No	72c	15$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.2	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd9f…a686backed No	74c	14.77$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.77	184	73.4%135 W · 49 L	+5.1wins	+0.03per pick	71cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Leandro Trossard: 1+ goals

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event