Romelu Lukaku: 1+ goals

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0ef5b42fd16c9f524fc01ac247e743049f3e22a72ae320c4fbf03b0e644725b

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $23,402
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $22,415

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,402 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x336b…1233backed No	55c	6,000$3,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,699.88	192	52.1%100 W · 92 L	+10.7wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked No	55c	3,042$1,673 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,369.04	343	57.7%198 W · 145 L	+26.2wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c09…3fd2backed Yes	45c	2,222$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	27	37%10 W · 17 L	+1.6wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d13…3c2fbacked No	55c	1,500$825 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$674.96	327	65.7%215 W · 112 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes	34c	1,335$456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$456.25	1,206	50.2%606 W · 600 L	+44.5wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b57…5d9abacked Yes	45c	1,142$514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$514	81	56.8%46 W · 35 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a1f…943ebacked Yes	45c	1,111$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	51	27.5%14 W · 37 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No	55c	999.92$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$449.96	148	60.1%89 W · 59 L	+6.8wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes	14c	876.88$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.63	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No	55c	599.93$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$269.97	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x886f…5e20backed Yes	45c	578.16$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	60	33.3%20 W · 40 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked Yes	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	198	23.7%47 W · 151 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed No	56c	448.36$251 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197.39	161	65.8%106 W · 55 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	64cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x524b…73a2backed Yes	45c	444.44$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	25	52%13 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8df1…9d56backed Yes	45c	444.44$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-4.0wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x772f…ce37backed Yes	45c	444.44$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc02b…ab4fbacked Yes	26c	384.03$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	21	14.3%3 W · 18 L	-3.0wins	-0.14per pick	28cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked No	75c	379.76$284 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.79	245	41.2%101 W · 144 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5422…a780backed Yes	45c	333.33$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	208	25%52 W · 156 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No	54c	325.34$176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.66	379	59.1%224 W · 155 L	+20.5wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+12%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked No	75c	300$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75	366	31.1%114 W · 252 L	+18.2wins	+0.05per pick	26cpaid	+34.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde74…77abbacked No	56c	299.98$169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130.99	288	73.3%211 W · 77 L	+21.7wins	+0.08per pick	66cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9041…ddbabacked Yes	45c	295.56$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133	113	38.9%44 W · 69 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No	54c	292$157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.54	1,492	41%612 W · 880 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Yes	45c	255.99$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.2	199	35.2%70 W · 129 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7ed…e3bfbacked No	56c	253.57$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.57	40	57.5%23 W · 17 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7032…6bdcbacked Yes	44c	249.99$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.99	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No	65c	235.38$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.41	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x88fc…eda8backed Yes	45c	222.36$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	71	40.8%29 W · 42 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Yes	45c	222.22$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	608	21.9%133 W · 475 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf85f…67c2backed Yes	45c	222.22$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+25%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee03…6edbbacked Yes	45c	222.22$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	168	54.8%92 W · 76 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a9d…de77backed Yes	45c	220$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	81	49.4%40 W · 41 L	+6.0wins	+0.07per pick	42cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes	45c	220$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	315	20.3%64 W · 251 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba6…ab05backed Yes	45c	217.53$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.89	68	30.9%21 W · 47 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Yes	44c	214.9$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.56	580	29.5%171 W · 409 L	-19.9wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbff4…b609backed Yes	45c	205.18$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.33	151	40.4%61 W · 90 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb349…d14bbacked Yes	49c	200$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	276	37.7%104 W · 172 L	+15.3wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9236…db6dbacked Yes	37c	199.99$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.75	163	41.1%67 W · 96 L	+6.6wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce1c…a90abacked No	80c	191.6$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.32	54	66.7%36 W · 18 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	64cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4753…41adbacked No	56c	189.99$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.6	59	69.5%41 W · 18 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	64cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes	27c	185.56$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	245	39.6%97 W · 148 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No	66c	183.84$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.35	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	42c	179.36$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.08	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x155d…3ec8backed Yes	45c	177.78$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	255	32.9%84 W · 171 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes	19c	150$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	238	38.7%92 W · 146 L	+6.9wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7200…9299backed Yes	33c	147.99$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.54	169	46.2%78 W · 91 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3147…2b50backed Yes	45c	135.56$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-2.8wins	-0.13per pick	42cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8812…c41abacked Yes	34c	131.6$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.72	452	54.6%247 W · 205 L	+13.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Yes	44c	120$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.8	534	36%192 W · 342 L	+12.3wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb361…808ebacked Yes	41c	120$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.2	86	52.3%45 W · 41 L	+6.1wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	-6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed No	64c	118.38$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.15	379	71.2%270 W · 109 L	+13.2wins	+0.03per pick	68cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd050…c915backed Yes	45c	117.78$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	68	60.3%41 W · 27 L	+11.5wins	+0.17per pick	43cpaid	+39.1%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Yes	45c	113.2$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.94	104	48.1%50 W · 54 L	+8.3wins	+0.08per pick	40cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e6e…9716backed Yes	45c	111.11$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	65	36.9%24 W · 41 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df7…6e7cbacked Yes	45c	111.11$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37a0…8423backed Yes	45c	111.11$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	189	42.3%80 W · 109 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x477e…23b3backed Yes	20c	110$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	120	58.3%70 W · 50 L	+6.4wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x44f8…83bcbacked Yes	45c	106.67$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0341…9294backed Yes	45c	102.22$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	494	26.7%132 W · 362 L	-9.8wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71a8…0174backed Yes	45c	100$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.8wins	-0.23per pick	48cpaid	-55.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e4b…0c34backed Yes	45c	96.18$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.28	49	53.1%26 W · 23 L	+2.7wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1579…3892backed Yes	52c	96.15$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	46	50%23 W · 23 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a18…edebbacked Yes	34c	95.13$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.95	62	50%31 W · 31 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d2c…cd4ebacked Yes	45c	84.44$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	58	50%29 W · 29 L	+3.7wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5135…df38backed Yes	48c	83.8$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	142	48.6%69 W · 73 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf96b…9c4cbacked No	55c	72.42$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.59	205	53.7%110 W · 95 L	+21.6wins	+0.11per pick	43cpaid	+25%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5908…43f5backed No	59c	69.49$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.49	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.16per pick	44cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed No	66c	68.88$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.19	208	60.6%126 W · 82 L	+6.6wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x500e…bd16backed Yes	45c	66.67$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	168	36.9%62 W · 106 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4dbd…4476backed Yes	45c	66.67$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	212	50.9%108 W · 104 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8cc…2e39backed Yes	45c	65$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.25	102	65.7%67 W · 35 L	+11.2wins	+0.11per pick	55cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed Yes	45c	62.22$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	115	55.7%64 W · 51 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb78d…835dbacked Yes	34c	60$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.4	272	42.3%115 W · 157 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9a…68ddbacked Yes	45c	58.13$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.16	56	39.3%22 W · 34 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37b5…b6c8backed Yes	45c	57.78$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	115	26.1%30 W · 85 L	-8.0wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Yes	45c	55.56$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	143	51.7%74 W · 69 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…c770backed Yes	45c	55.56$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c77…1bfebacked Yes	45c	55.56$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	38	28.9%11 W · 27 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba34…32b8backed Yes	45c	55.56$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	261	51.7%135 W · 126 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d58…80b2backed Yes	45c	55.56$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	147	39.5%58 W · 89 L	-8.2wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4ba…10d5backed Yes	45c	50$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	68	51.5%35 W · 33 L	+4.6wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc4d…f0b8backed Yes	45c	50$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	90	42.2%38 W · 52 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf30a…3583backed Yes	45c	50$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	166	29.5%49 W · 117 L	-8.6wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x953e…79ffbacked Yes	45c	50$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	115	35.7%41 W · 74 L	-8.1wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa1a7…25edbacked No	56c	49$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.56	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e64…6636backed No	56c	47.3$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.81	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	64cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e28…f043backed Yes	45c	46.67$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	172	44.8%77 W · 95 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x115f…f51dbacked Yes	44c	45.24$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	51	51%26 W · 25 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No	55c	45$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.2	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf672…c3c4backed Yes	45c	44.44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	259	45.2%117 W · 142 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c3f…32b2backed Yes	45c	44.44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	51	37.3%19 W · 32 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c9…0f92backed Yes	45c	44.44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+1.8wins	+0.12per pick	42cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes	45c	44.44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	70	58.6%41 W · 29 L	+4.1wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d3…df21backed Yes	45c	44.44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	59	49.2%29 W · 30 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafc9…38ccbacked Yes	45c	44.44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe26b…a9ecbacked No	56c	44.38$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.38	98	58.2%57 W · 41 L	+8.3wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+17%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0633…355abacked Yes	45c	43.56$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.6	162	50%81 W · 81 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67df…5f86backed Yes	45c	42.22$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	85	56.5%48 W · 37 L	+4.7wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc70…7a05backed Yes	45c	42.18$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.98	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Romelu Lukaku: 1+ goals

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event